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Energy systems in scenarios at net-zero CO(2) emissions

Achieving net-zero CO(2) emissions has become the explicitgoal of many climate-energy policies around the world. Although many studies have assessed net-zero emissions pathways, the common features and tradeoffs of energy systems across global scenarios at the point of net-zero CO(2) emissions have...

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Autores principales: DeAngelo, Julianne, Azevedo, Inês, Bistline, John, Clarke, Leon, Luderer, Gunnar, Byers, Edward, Davis, Steven J.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8528892/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34671014
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-26356-y
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author DeAngelo, Julianne
Azevedo, Inês
Bistline, John
Clarke, Leon
Luderer, Gunnar
Byers, Edward
Davis, Steven J.
author_facet DeAngelo, Julianne
Azevedo, Inês
Bistline, John
Clarke, Leon
Luderer, Gunnar
Byers, Edward
Davis, Steven J.
author_sort DeAngelo, Julianne
collection PubMed
description Achieving net-zero CO(2) emissions has become the explicitgoal of many climate-energy policies around the world. Although many studies have assessed net-zero emissions pathways, the common features and tradeoffs of energy systems across global scenarios at the point of net-zero CO(2) emissions have not yet been evaluated. Here, we examine the energy systems of 177 net-zero scenarios and discuss their long-term technological and regional characteristics in the context of current energy policies. We find that, on average, renewable energy sources account for 60% of primary energy at net-zero (compared to ∼14% today), with slightly less than half of that renewable energy derived from biomass. Meanwhile, electricity makes up approximately half of final energy consumed (compared to ∼20% today), highlighting the extent to which solid, liquid, and gaseous fuels remain prevalent in the scenarios even when emissions reach net-zero. Finally, residual emissions and offsetting negative emissions are not evenly distributed across world regions, which may have important implications for negotiations on burden-sharing, human development, and equity.
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spelling pubmed-85288922021-10-22 Energy systems in scenarios at net-zero CO(2) emissions DeAngelo, Julianne Azevedo, Inês Bistline, John Clarke, Leon Luderer, Gunnar Byers, Edward Davis, Steven J. Nat Commun Article Achieving net-zero CO(2) emissions has become the explicitgoal of many climate-energy policies around the world. Although many studies have assessed net-zero emissions pathways, the common features and tradeoffs of energy systems across global scenarios at the point of net-zero CO(2) emissions have not yet been evaluated. Here, we examine the energy systems of 177 net-zero scenarios and discuss their long-term technological and regional characteristics in the context of current energy policies. We find that, on average, renewable energy sources account for 60% of primary energy at net-zero (compared to ∼14% today), with slightly less than half of that renewable energy derived from biomass. Meanwhile, electricity makes up approximately half of final energy consumed (compared to ∼20% today), highlighting the extent to which solid, liquid, and gaseous fuels remain prevalent in the scenarios even when emissions reach net-zero. Finally, residual emissions and offsetting negative emissions are not evenly distributed across world regions, which may have important implications for negotiations on burden-sharing, human development, and equity. Nature Publishing Group UK 2021-10-20 /pmc/articles/PMC8528892/ /pubmed/34671014 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-26356-y Text en © The Author(s) 2021 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) .
spellingShingle Article
DeAngelo, Julianne
Azevedo, Inês
Bistline, John
Clarke, Leon
Luderer, Gunnar
Byers, Edward
Davis, Steven J.
Energy systems in scenarios at net-zero CO(2) emissions
title Energy systems in scenarios at net-zero CO(2) emissions
title_full Energy systems in scenarios at net-zero CO(2) emissions
title_fullStr Energy systems in scenarios at net-zero CO(2) emissions
title_full_unstemmed Energy systems in scenarios at net-zero CO(2) emissions
title_short Energy systems in scenarios at net-zero CO(2) emissions
title_sort energy systems in scenarios at net-zero co(2) emissions
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8528892/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34671014
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-26356-y
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