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The Chaotic Behavior of the Spread of Infection During the COVID-19 Pandemic in the United States and Globally
In December 2019, China announced the breakout of a new virus identified as coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19), which soon grew exponentially and resulted in a global pandemic. Despite strict actions to mitigate the spread of the virus in various countries, COVID-19 resulted in a significant loss of...
Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
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Lenguaje: | English |
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IEEE
2021
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Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8545195/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34786316 http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/ACCESS.2021.3085240 |
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collection | PubMed |
description | In December 2019, China announced the breakout of a new virus identified as coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19), which soon grew exponentially and resulted in a global pandemic. Despite strict actions to mitigate the spread of the virus in various countries, COVID-19 resulted in a significant loss of human life in 2020 and early 2021. To better understand the dynamics of the spread of COVID-19, evidence of its chaotic behavior in the US and globally was evaluated. A 0–1 test was used to analyze the time-series data of confirmed daily COVID-19 cases from 1/22/2020 to 12/13/2020. The results show that the behavior of the COVID-19 pandemic was chaotic in 55% of the investigated countries. Although the time-series data for the entire US was not chaotic, 39% of individual states displayed chaotic infection spread behavior based on the reported daily cases. Overall, there is evidence of chaotic behavior of the spread of COVID-19 infection worldwide, which adds to the difficulty in controlling and preventing the current pandemic. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-8545195 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2021 |
publisher | IEEE |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-85451952021-11-12 The Chaotic Behavior of the Spread of Infection During the COVID-19 Pandemic in the United States and Globally IEEE Access Science - general In December 2019, China announced the breakout of a new virus identified as coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19), which soon grew exponentially and resulted in a global pandemic. Despite strict actions to mitigate the spread of the virus in various countries, COVID-19 resulted in a significant loss of human life in 2020 and early 2021. To better understand the dynamics of the spread of COVID-19, evidence of its chaotic behavior in the US and globally was evaluated. A 0–1 test was used to analyze the time-series data of confirmed daily COVID-19 cases from 1/22/2020 to 12/13/2020. The results show that the behavior of the COVID-19 pandemic was chaotic in 55% of the investigated countries. Although the time-series data for the entire US was not chaotic, 39% of individual states displayed chaotic infection spread behavior based on the reported daily cases. Overall, there is evidence of chaotic behavior of the spread of COVID-19 infection worldwide, which adds to the difficulty in controlling and preventing the current pandemic. IEEE 2021-06-02 /pmc/articles/PMC8545195/ /pubmed/34786316 http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/ACCESS.2021.3085240 Text en https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License. For more information, see https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |
spellingShingle | Science - general The Chaotic Behavior of the Spread of Infection During the COVID-19 Pandemic in the United States and Globally |
title | The Chaotic Behavior of the Spread of Infection During the COVID-19 Pandemic in the United States and Globally |
title_full | The Chaotic Behavior of the Spread of Infection During the COVID-19 Pandemic in the United States and Globally |
title_fullStr | The Chaotic Behavior of the Spread of Infection During the COVID-19 Pandemic in the United States and Globally |
title_full_unstemmed | The Chaotic Behavior of the Spread of Infection During the COVID-19 Pandemic in the United States and Globally |
title_short | The Chaotic Behavior of the Spread of Infection During the COVID-19 Pandemic in the United States and Globally |
title_sort | chaotic behavior of the spread of infection during the covid-19 pandemic in the united states and globally |
topic | Science - general |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8545195/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34786316 http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/ACCESS.2021.3085240 |
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