Integrating Intrinsic Radiosensitivity and Immune Status for Predicting Benefits of Radiotherapy in Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma

BACKGROUND: HNSCC (head and neck squamous cell carcinoma) is a heterogeneous disease for which radiotherapy is a main treatment. As intrinsic radiosensitivity and immune status affect the initial and effective stage of the radiation-induced cancer immunity cycle, respectively, it is important to consider both of them when we select patients who can benefit from radiotherapy. MATERIAL/METHODS: Our study included all HNSCC patients with complete survival and radiotherapy information in TCGA database. Patients were divided into RS (radiosensitive), RR (radioresistant), immune, and non-immune groups according to their RSI (radiosensitivity index) and immune score calculated by the ESTIMATE algorithm. Survival analysis was performed to compare OS (overall survival) between patients receiving and not receiving radiotherapy. GO and KEGG pathway enrichment analysis was performed for functional analysis. Univariate Cox and ridge regression analysis were performed to construct a predictive gene signature based on the combined stratification. RESULTS: Only patients in the RS-immune group could benefit from radiotherapy, and the survival analysis results remained consistent after we performed propensity score matching between patients receiving and not receiving radiotherapy. The differentially expressed genes between the RS-immune and non-RS-immune groups were mainly enriched in pathways related to immune process. The 3-gene signature we built exhibited predictive value in training and validation cohorts when treated as a binary or continuous variable. CONCLUSIONS: The combined stratification of intrinsic radiosensitivity and immune status was superior to considering intrinsic radiosensitivity or immune status alone and could be used in preclinical evaluation to select patients or to decide whether radiotherapy sensitizers and immunotherapy should be used at the same time.