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Climate modelling and structural stability
Climate modelling plays a crucial role for understanding and addressing the climate challenge, in terms of both mitigation and adaptation. It is therefore of central importance to understand to what extent climate models are adequate for relevant purposes, such as providing certain kinds of climate...
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
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Springer Netherlands
2021
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Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8550413/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34721745 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13194-021-00414-0 |
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author | Lam, Vincent |
author_facet | Lam, Vincent |
author_sort | Lam, Vincent |
collection | PubMed |
description | Climate modelling plays a crucial role for understanding and addressing the climate challenge, in terms of both mitigation and adaptation. It is therefore of central importance to understand to what extent climate models are adequate for relevant purposes, such as providing certain kinds of climate change projections in view of decision-making. In this perspective, the issue of the stability of climate models under small relevant perturbations in their structure (or small relevant ‘structural model errors’ with respect to the target system) seems particularly important. Within this framework, a debate has emerged in the philosophy of science literature about the relevance for climate modelling of the mathematical notion of structural stability. This paper adresses several important foundational and epistemological questions that arise in this context, in particular about the the role of abstract mathematical considerations of a qualitative nature (in some precise, topological sense) for concrete modelling projects with mainly quantitative purposes. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-8550413 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2021 |
publisher | Springer Netherlands |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-85504132021-10-29 Climate modelling and structural stability Lam, Vincent Eur J Philos Sci Paper in Philosophy of the Natural Sciences Climate modelling plays a crucial role for understanding and addressing the climate challenge, in terms of both mitigation and adaptation. It is therefore of central importance to understand to what extent climate models are adequate for relevant purposes, such as providing certain kinds of climate change projections in view of decision-making. In this perspective, the issue of the stability of climate models under small relevant perturbations in their structure (or small relevant ‘structural model errors’ with respect to the target system) seems particularly important. Within this framework, a debate has emerged in the philosophy of science literature about the relevance for climate modelling of the mathematical notion of structural stability. This paper adresses several important foundational and epistemological questions that arise in this context, in particular about the the role of abstract mathematical considerations of a qualitative nature (in some precise, topological sense) for concrete modelling projects with mainly quantitative purposes. Springer Netherlands 2021-10-19 2021 /pmc/articles/PMC8550413/ /pubmed/34721745 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13194-021-00414-0 Text en © The Author(s) 2021 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) . |
spellingShingle | Paper in Philosophy of the Natural Sciences Lam, Vincent Climate modelling and structural stability |
title | Climate modelling and structural stability |
title_full | Climate modelling and structural stability |
title_fullStr | Climate modelling and structural stability |
title_full_unstemmed | Climate modelling and structural stability |
title_short | Climate modelling and structural stability |
title_sort | climate modelling and structural stability |
topic | Paper in Philosophy of the Natural Sciences |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8550413/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34721745 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13194-021-00414-0 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT lamvincent climatemodellingandstructuralstability |