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Spatiotemporal distribution of COVID-19 during the first 7 months of the epidemic in Vietnam

BACKGROUND: Understanding the spatiotemporal distribution of emerging infectious diseases is crucial for implementation of control measures. In the first 7 months from the occurrence of COVID-19 pandemic, Vietnam has documented comparatively few cases of COVID-19. Understanding the spatiotemporal di...

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Autores principales: Manabe, Toshie, Phan, Dung, Nohara, Yasuhiro, Kambayashi, Dan, Nguyen, Thang Huu, Van Do, Thanh, Kudo, Koichiro
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: BioMed Central 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8556820/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34717588
http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12879-021-06822-0
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author Manabe, Toshie
Phan, Dung
Nohara, Yasuhiro
Kambayashi, Dan
Nguyen, Thang Huu
Van Do, Thanh
Kudo, Koichiro
author_facet Manabe, Toshie
Phan, Dung
Nohara, Yasuhiro
Kambayashi, Dan
Nguyen, Thang Huu
Van Do, Thanh
Kudo, Koichiro
author_sort Manabe, Toshie
collection PubMed
description BACKGROUND: Understanding the spatiotemporal distribution of emerging infectious diseases is crucial for implementation of control measures. In the first 7 months from the occurrence of COVID-19 pandemic, Vietnam has documented comparatively few cases of COVID-19. Understanding the spatiotemporal distribution of these cases may contribute to development of global countermeasures. METHODS: We assessed the spatiotemporal distribution of COVID-19 from 23 January to 31 July 2020 in Vietnam. Data were collected from reports of the World Health Organization, the Vietnam Ministry of Health, and related websites. Temporal distribution was assessed via the transmission classification (local or quarantined cases). Geographical distribution was assessed via the number of cases in each province along with their timelines. The most likely disease clusters with elevated incidence were assessed via calculation of the relative risk (RR). RESULTS: Among 544 observed cases of COVID-19, the median age was 35 years, 54.8% were men, and 50.9% were diagnosed during quarantine. During the observation period, there were four phases: Phase 1, COVID-19 cases occurred sporadically in January and February 2020; Phase 2, an epidemic wave occurred from the 1st week of March to the middle of April (Wave 1); Phase 3, only quarantining cases were involved; and Phase 4, a second epidemic wave began on July 25th, 2020 (Wave 2). A spatial cluster in Phase 1 was detected in Vinh Phuc Province (RR, 38.052). In Phase 2, primary spatial clusters were identified in the areas of Hanoi and Ha Nam Province (RR, 6.357). In Phase 4, a spatial cluster was detected in Da Nang, a popular coastal tourist destination (RR, 70.401). CONCLUSIONS: Spatial disease clustering of COVID-19 in Vietnam was associated with large cities, tourist destinations, people’s mobility, and the occurrence of nosocomial infections. Past experiences with outbreaks of emerging infectious diseases led to quick implementation of governmental countermeasures against COVID-19 and a general acceptance of these measures by the population. The behaviors of the population and the government, as well as the country’s age distribution, may have contributed to the low incidence and small number of severe COVID-19 cases. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12879-021-06822-0.
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spelling pubmed-85568202021-11-01 Spatiotemporal distribution of COVID-19 during the first 7 months of the epidemic in Vietnam Manabe, Toshie Phan, Dung Nohara, Yasuhiro Kambayashi, Dan Nguyen, Thang Huu Van Do, Thanh Kudo, Koichiro BMC Infect Dis Research BACKGROUND: Understanding the spatiotemporal distribution of emerging infectious diseases is crucial for implementation of control measures. In the first 7 months from the occurrence of COVID-19 pandemic, Vietnam has documented comparatively few cases of COVID-19. Understanding the spatiotemporal distribution of these cases may contribute to development of global countermeasures. METHODS: We assessed the spatiotemporal distribution of COVID-19 from 23 January to 31 July 2020 in Vietnam. Data were collected from reports of the World Health Organization, the Vietnam Ministry of Health, and related websites. Temporal distribution was assessed via the transmission classification (local or quarantined cases). Geographical distribution was assessed via the number of cases in each province along with their timelines. The most likely disease clusters with elevated incidence were assessed via calculation of the relative risk (RR). RESULTS: Among 544 observed cases of COVID-19, the median age was 35 years, 54.8% were men, and 50.9% were diagnosed during quarantine. During the observation period, there were four phases: Phase 1, COVID-19 cases occurred sporadically in January and February 2020; Phase 2, an epidemic wave occurred from the 1st week of March to the middle of April (Wave 1); Phase 3, only quarantining cases were involved; and Phase 4, a second epidemic wave began on July 25th, 2020 (Wave 2). A spatial cluster in Phase 1 was detected in Vinh Phuc Province (RR, 38.052). In Phase 2, primary spatial clusters were identified in the areas of Hanoi and Ha Nam Province (RR, 6.357). In Phase 4, a spatial cluster was detected in Da Nang, a popular coastal tourist destination (RR, 70.401). CONCLUSIONS: Spatial disease clustering of COVID-19 in Vietnam was associated with large cities, tourist destinations, people’s mobility, and the occurrence of nosocomial infections. Past experiences with outbreaks of emerging infectious diseases led to quick implementation of governmental countermeasures against COVID-19 and a general acceptance of these measures by the population. The behaviors of the population and the government, as well as the country’s age distribution, may have contributed to the low incidence and small number of severe COVID-19 cases. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12879-021-06822-0. BioMed Central 2021-10-30 /pmc/articles/PMC8556820/ /pubmed/34717588 http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12879-021-06822-0 Text en © The Author(s) 2021 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) . The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver (http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) ) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated in a credit line to the data.
spellingShingle Research
Manabe, Toshie
Phan, Dung
Nohara, Yasuhiro
Kambayashi, Dan
Nguyen, Thang Huu
Van Do, Thanh
Kudo, Koichiro
Spatiotemporal distribution of COVID-19 during the first 7 months of the epidemic in Vietnam
title Spatiotemporal distribution of COVID-19 during the first 7 months of the epidemic in Vietnam
title_full Spatiotemporal distribution of COVID-19 during the first 7 months of the epidemic in Vietnam
title_fullStr Spatiotemporal distribution of COVID-19 during the first 7 months of the epidemic in Vietnam
title_full_unstemmed Spatiotemporal distribution of COVID-19 during the first 7 months of the epidemic in Vietnam
title_short Spatiotemporal distribution of COVID-19 during the first 7 months of the epidemic in Vietnam
title_sort spatiotemporal distribution of covid-19 during the first 7 months of the epidemic in vietnam
topic Research
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8556820/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34717588
http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12879-021-06822-0
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