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Discrete epidemic models with two time scales
The main aim of the work is to present a general class of two time scales discrete-time epidemic models. In the proposed framework the disease dynamics is considered to act on a slower time scale than a second different process that could represent movements between spatial locations, changes of ind...
Autores principales: | , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Springer International Publishing
2021
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8556850/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34745241 http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s13662-021-03633-0 |
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author | Bravo de la Parra, Rafael Sanz-Lorenzo, Luis |
author_facet | Bravo de la Parra, Rafael Sanz-Lorenzo, Luis |
author_sort | Bravo de la Parra, Rafael |
collection | PubMed |
description | The main aim of the work is to present a general class of two time scales discrete-time epidemic models. In the proposed framework the disease dynamics is considered to act on a slower time scale than a second different process that could represent movements between spatial locations, changes of individual activities or behaviors, or others. To include a sufficiently general disease model, we first build up from first principles a discrete-time susceptible–exposed–infectious–recovered–susceptible (SEIRS) model and characterize the eradication or endemicity of the disease with the help of its basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] . Then, we propose a general full model that includes sequentially the two processes at different time scales and proceed to its analysis through a reduced model. The basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] of the reduced system gives a good approximation of [Formula: see text] of the full model since it serves at analyzing its asymptotic behavior. As an illustration of the proposed general framework, it is shown that there exist conditions under which a locally endemic disease, considering isolated patches in a metapopulation, can be eradicated globally by establishing the appropriate movements between patches. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-8556850 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2021 |
publisher | Springer International Publishing |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-85568502021-11-01 Discrete epidemic models with two time scales Bravo de la Parra, Rafael Sanz-Lorenzo, Luis Adv Differ Equ Research The main aim of the work is to present a general class of two time scales discrete-time epidemic models. In the proposed framework the disease dynamics is considered to act on a slower time scale than a second different process that could represent movements between spatial locations, changes of individual activities or behaviors, or others. To include a sufficiently general disease model, we first build up from first principles a discrete-time susceptible–exposed–infectious–recovered–susceptible (SEIRS) model and characterize the eradication or endemicity of the disease with the help of its basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] . Then, we propose a general full model that includes sequentially the two processes at different time scales and proceed to its analysis through a reduced model. The basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] of the reduced system gives a good approximation of [Formula: see text] of the full model since it serves at analyzing its asymptotic behavior. As an illustration of the proposed general framework, it is shown that there exist conditions under which a locally endemic disease, considering isolated patches in a metapopulation, can be eradicated globally by establishing the appropriate movements between patches. Springer International Publishing 2021-10-30 2021 /pmc/articles/PMC8556850/ /pubmed/34745241 http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s13662-021-03633-0 Text en © The Author(s) 2021 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) . |
spellingShingle | Research Bravo de la Parra, Rafael Sanz-Lorenzo, Luis Discrete epidemic models with two time scales |
title | Discrete epidemic models with two time scales |
title_full | Discrete epidemic models with two time scales |
title_fullStr | Discrete epidemic models with two time scales |
title_full_unstemmed | Discrete epidemic models with two time scales |
title_short | Discrete epidemic models with two time scales |
title_sort | discrete epidemic models with two time scales |
topic | Research |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8556850/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34745241 http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s13662-021-03633-0 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT bravodelaparrarafael discreteepidemicmodelswithtwotimescales AT sanzlorenzoluis discreteepidemicmodelswithtwotimescales |