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COVID-19 pandemic, predictions and control in Saudi Arabia using SIR-F and age-structured SEIR model
COVID-19 has affected every individual physically or physiologically, leading to substantial impacts on how they perceive and respond to the pandemic’s danger. Due to the lack of vaccines or effective medicines to cure the infection, an urgent control measure is required to prevent the continued spr...
Autores principales: | , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Springer US
2021
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8579411/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34776626 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11227-021-04149-w |
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author | Durai, C. Anand Deva Begum, Arshiya Jebaseeli, Jemima Sabahath, Asfia |
author_facet | Durai, C. Anand Deva Begum, Arshiya Jebaseeli, Jemima Sabahath, Asfia |
author_sort | Durai, C. Anand Deva |
collection | PubMed |
description | COVID-19 has affected every individual physically or physiologically, leading to substantial impacts on how they perceive and respond to the pandemic’s danger. Due to the lack of vaccines or effective medicines to cure the infection, an urgent control measure is required to prevent the continued spread of COVID-19. This can be achieved using advanced computing, such as artificial intelligence (AI), machine learning (ML), deep learning (DL), cloud computing, and edge computing. To control the exponential spread of the novel virus, it is crucial for countries to contain and mitigate interventions. To prevent exponential growth, several control measures have been applied in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia to mitigate the COVID-19 epidemic. As the pandemic has been spreading globally for more than a year, an ample amount of data is available for researchers to predict and forecast the effect of the pandemic in the near future. This article interprets the effects of COVID-19 using the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR-F) while F-stands for ‘Fatal with confirmation,’ age-structured SEIR (Susceptible Exposed Infectious Removed) and machine learning for smart health care and the well-being of citizens of Saudi Arabia. Additionally, it examines the different control measure scenarios produced by the modified SEIR model. The evolution of the simulation results shows that the interventions are vital to flatten the virus spread curve, which can delay the peak and decrease the fatality rate. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-8579411 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2021 |
publisher | Springer US |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-85794112021-11-10 COVID-19 pandemic, predictions and control in Saudi Arabia using SIR-F and age-structured SEIR model Durai, C. Anand Deva Begum, Arshiya Jebaseeli, Jemima Sabahath, Asfia J Supercomput Article COVID-19 has affected every individual physically or physiologically, leading to substantial impacts on how they perceive and respond to the pandemic’s danger. Due to the lack of vaccines or effective medicines to cure the infection, an urgent control measure is required to prevent the continued spread of COVID-19. This can be achieved using advanced computing, such as artificial intelligence (AI), machine learning (ML), deep learning (DL), cloud computing, and edge computing. To control the exponential spread of the novel virus, it is crucial for countries to contain and mitigate interventions. To prevent exponential growth, several control measures have been applied in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia to mitigate the COVID-19 epidemic. As the pandemic has been spreading globally for more than a year, an ample amount of data is available for researchers to predict and forecast the effect of the pandemic in the near future. This article interprets the effects of COVID-19 using the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR-F) while F-stands for ‘Fatal with confirmation,’ age-structured SEIR (Susceptible Exposed Infectious Removed) and machine learning for smart health care and the well-being of citizens of Saudi Arabia. Additionally, it examines the different control measure scenarios produced by the modified SEIR model. The evolution of the simulation results shows that the interventions are vital to flatten the virus spread curve, which can delay the peak and decrease the fatality rate. Springer US 2021-11-10 2022 /pmc/articles/PMC8579411/ /pubmed/34776626 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11227-021-04149-w Text en © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, part of Springer Nature 2021 This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic. |
spellingShingle | Article Durai, C. Anand Deva Begum, Arshiya Jebaseeli, Jemima Sabahath, Asfia COVID-19 pandemic, predictions and control in Saudi Arabia using SIR-F and age-structured SEIR model |
title | COVID-19 pandemic, predictions and control in Saudi Arabia using SIR-F and age-structured SEIR model |
title_full | COVID-19 pandemic, predictions and control in Saudi Arabia using SIR-F and age-structured SEIR model |
title_fullStr | COVID-19 pandemic, predictions and control in Saudi Arabia using SIR-F and age-structured SEIR model |
title_full_unstemmed | COVID-19 pandemic, predictions and control in Saudi Arabia using SIR-F and age-structured SEIR model |
title_short | COVID-19 pandemic, predictions and control in Saudi Arabia using SIR-F and age-structured SEIR model |
title_sort | covid-19 pandemic, predictions and control in saudi arabia using sir-f and age-structured seir model |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8579411/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34776626 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11227-021-04149-w |
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