Diagnostic performance of chest radiography measurements for the assessment of cardiac chamber enlargement

BACKGROUND: The cardiothoracic ratio (CTR) is commonly assessed on chest radiography for detection of cardiac chamber enlargement, but the traditional cutpoint of 0.5 has low specificity. We sought to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of new measurement techniques for the detection of cardiac enlargement on chest radiographs. METHODS: We obtained retrospective cross-sectional data on consecutive patients who underwent both chest radiography and cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) within a 14-day interval between 2006 and 2016 at a large academic hospital network. We established the presence of cardiac chamber enlargement using cardiac MRI as the reference standard. We evaluated the diagnostic performance of different techniques for measuring heart size and CTR on frontal chest radiographs. RESULTS: Of 152 patients included, 81 (53%) were men and the mean age was 52 years. Maximum heart diameter had the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for detection of cardiac enlargement (0.827, 95% confidence interval 0.760–0.894). In the subgroup of posteroanterior chest radiography studies (n = 101), a CTR cutpoint of 0.50 had only moderate sensitivity (72%) and specificity (72%). In men, a maximum heart diameter cutpoint of 15 cm had a sensitivity of 86% and a negative likelihood ratio of 0.24, and a cutpoint of 19 cm had a specificity of 100% and a positive likelihood ratio of infinity. In women, a maximum heart diameter cutpoint of 13 cm had a sensitivity of 91% and a negative likelihood ratio of 0.15, and a cutpoint of 17 cm had a specificity of 91% and a positive likelihood ratio of 3.5. INTERPRETATION: A traditional CTR cutpoint of 0.5 has limited diagnostic value. Simple heart diameter measurements have higher diagnostic performance measures than CTR.