Impact of Early Fluid Balance on Long-Term Mortality in Critically Ill Surgical Patients: A Retrospective Cohort Study in Central Taiwan

Fluid balance is an essential issue in critical care; however, the impact of early fluid balance on the long-term mortality in critically ill surgical patients remains unknown. This study aimed to address the impact of day 1–3 and day 4–7 fluid balance on the long-term mortality in critically ill surgical patients. We enrolled patients who were admitted to surgical intensive care units (ICUs) during 2015–2019 at a tertiary hospital in central Taiwan and retrieved date-of-death from the Taiwanese nationwide death registration profile. We used a Log-rank test and a multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression model to determine the independent mortality impact of early fluid balance. A total of 6978 patients were included for analyses (mean age: 60.9 ± 15.9 years; 63.9% of them were men). In-hospital mortality, 90-day mortality, 1-year and overall mortality was 10.3%, 15.8%, 23.8% and 31.7%, respectively. In a multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression model adjusted for relevant covariates, we found that positive cumulative day 4–7 fluid balance was independently associated with long-term mortality (aHR 1.083, 95% CI 1.062–1.105), and a similar trend was found on day 1–3 fluid balance, although to a lesser extent (aHR 1.027, 95% CI 1.011–1.043). In conclusion, the fluid balance in the first week of ICU stay, particularly day 4–7 fluid balance, may affect the long-term outcome in critically ill surgical patients.