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Global Dynamics of a Multi-group SEIR Epidemic Model with Infection Age

Consider the heterogeneity (e.g., heterogeneous social behaviour, heterogeneity due to different geography, contrasting contact patterns and different numbers of sexual partners etc.) of host population, in this paper, the authors propose an infection age multi-group SEIR epidemic model. The model s...

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Autores principales: Bajiya, Vijay Pal, Tripathi, Jai Prakash, Kakkar, Vipul, Wang, Jinshan, Sun, Guiquan
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8585732/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11401-021-0294-1
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author Bajiya, Vijay Pal
Tripathi, Jai Prakash
Kakkar, Vipul
Wang, Jinshan
Sun, Guiquan
author_facet Bajiya, Vijay Pal
Tripathi, Jai Prakash
Kakkar, Vipul
Wang, Jinshan
Sun, Guiquan
author_sort Bajiya, Vijay Pal
collection PubMed
description Consider the heterogeneity (e.g., heterogeneous social behaviour, heterogeneity due to different geography, contrasting contact patterns and different numbers of sexual partners etc.) of host population, in this paper, the authors propose an infection age multi-group SEIR epidemic model. The model system also incorporates the feedback variables, where the infectivity of infected individuals may depend on the infection age. In the direction of mathematical analysis of model, the basic reproduction number R(0) has been computed. The global stability of disease-free equilibrium and endemic equilibrium have been established in the term of R(0). More precisely, for R(0) ≤ 1, the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable and for R(0) > 1, they establish global stability of endemic equilibrium using some graph theoretic techniques to Lyapunov function method. By considering a numerical example, they investigate the effects of infection age and feedback on the prevalence of the disease. Their result shows that feedback parameters have different and even opposite effects on different groups. However, by choosing an appropriate value of feedback parameters, the disease could be eradicated or maintained at endemic level. Besides, the infection age of infected individuals may also change the behaviour of the disease, global stable to damped oscillations or damped oscillations to global stable.
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spelling pubmed-85857322021-11-12 Global Dynamics of a Multi-group SEIR Epidemic Model with Infection Age Bajiya, Vijay Pal Tripathi, Jai Prakash Kakkar, Vipul Wang, Jinshan Sun, Guiquan Chin. Ann. Math. Ser. B Article Consider the heterogeneity (e.g., heterogeneous social behaviour, heterogeneity due to different geography, contrasting contact patterns and different numbers of sexual partners etc.) of host population, in this paper, the authors propose an infection age multi-group SEIR epidemic model. The model system also incorporates the feedback variables, where the infectivity of infected individuals may depend on the infection age. In the direction of mathematical analysis of model, the basic reproduction number R(0) has been computed. The global stability of disease-free equilibrium and endemic equilibrium have been established in the term of R(0). More precisely, for R(0) ≤ 1, the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable and for R(0) > 1, they establish global stability of endemic equilibrium using some graph theoretic techniques to Lyapunov function method. By considering a numerical example, they investigate the effects of infection age and feedback on the prevalence of the disease. Their result shows that feedback parameters have different and even opposite effects on different groups. However, by choosing an appropriate value of feedback parameters, the disease could be eradicated or maintained at endemic level. Besides, the infection age of infected individuals may also change the behaviour of the disease, global stable to damped oscillations or damped oscillations to global stable. Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2021-11-12 2021 /pmc/articles/PMC8585732/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11401-021-0294-1 Text en © The Editorial Office of CAM and Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2021 This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic.
spellingShingle Article
Bajiya, Vijay Pal
Tripathi, Jai Prakash
Kakkar, Vipul
Wang, Jinshan
Sun, Guiquan
Global Dynamics of a Multi-group SEIR Epidemic Model with Infection Age
title Global Dynamics of a Multi-group SEIR Epidemic Model with Infection Age
title_full Global Dynamics of a Multi-group SEIR Epidemic Model with Infection Age
title_fullStr Global Dynamics of a Multi-group SEIR Epidemic Model with Infection Age
title_full_unstemmed Global Dynamics of a Multi-group SEIR Epidemic Model with Infection Age
title_short Global Dynamics of a Multi-group SEIR Epidemic Model with Infection Age
title_sort global dynamics of a multi-group seir epidemic model with infection age
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8585732/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11401-021-0294-1
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