Why Modelling the COVID-19 pandemic using Fuzzy Cognitive Maps (FCM)?

The coronavirus disease known today as COVID-19, has created tremendous chaos around the world, affecting people’s lives and causing a large number of deaths. The WHO has accepted COVID-19 as a pandemic leading to a global health emergency. Global collaboration is sought in numerous quarters. Research efforts have been intensified all around the humankind. Most studies for COVID-19 are done based on statistical models which depend solely on correlation factors. The factor of causality has not been considered appropriately. The approach of Fuzzy Cognitive Maps (FCM) that is considering the causality factors is proposed, to investigate the whole spectrum of COVID-19. An FCM COVID-19 model is proposed having 10 symptoms-concepts. Early theoretical simulation studies using an FCM COVID-19 model and real data from the local hospital, have been conducted. Simulations with real patient data give excellent results. Future research directions are provided.