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Models of Epidemiological Security Management in the Spread of the SARS-CoV-2 Virus
The task of managing epidemic security during COVID-19 is considered. The spread of the SARS-CoV-2 virus without and with vaccination is described by mathematical and computer models built on the basis of the epidemic control protocol adopted by the Georgian authorities. The mathematical model of th...
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
, IFAC (International Federation of Automatic Control) Hosting by Elsevier Ltd.
2021
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8588789/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ifacol.2021.10.518 |
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author | Kereselidze, N. |
author_facet | Kereselidze, N. |
author_sort | Kereselidze, N. |
collection | PubMed |
description | The task of managing epidemic security during COVID-19 is considered. The spread of the SARS-CoV-2 virus without and with vaccination is described by mathematical and computer models built on the basis of the epidemic control protocol adopted by the Georgian authorities. The mathematical model of the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 virus is described using the Cauchy problem for a system of ordinary differential equations. For the management of epidemiological safety, a objective function has been built, which takes into account: the financial consequences of introducing a lockdown in the country and the cost of treating the infected. Among the parameters of the model, the governing ones are highlighted. The control parameters are used to minimize the objective function. In the work, mainly theoretical research is given. However, computer simulation and a computational experiment on the proposed computer model with constant parameters allows us to answer the question: what is the number of infected citizens in the country, in which the economy does not need a lockdown, and the recovery prognosis of those infected with the SARS-CoV-2 virus is favorable. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-8588789 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2021 |
publisher | , IFAC (International Federation of Automatic Control) Hosting by Elsevier Ltd. |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-85887892021-11-12 Models of Epidemiological Security Management in the Spread of the SARS-CoV-2 Virus Kereselidze, N. IFAC-PapersOnLine Article The task of managing epidemic security during COVID-19 is considered. The spread of the SARS-CoV-2 virus without and with vaccination is described by mathematical and computer models built on the basis of the epidemic control protocol adopted by the Georgian authorities. The mathematical model of the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 virus is described using the Cauchy problem for a system of ordinary differential equations. For the management of epidemiological safety, a objective function has been built, which takes into account: the financial consequences of introducing a lockdown in the country and the cost of treating the infected. Among the parameters of the model, the governing ones are highlighted. The control parameters are used to minimize the objective function. In the work, mainly theoretical research is given. However, computer simulation and a computational experiment on the proposed computer model with constant parameters allows us to answer the question: what is the number of infected citizens in the country, in which the economy does not need a lockdown, and the recovery prognosis of those infected with the SARS-CoV-2 virus is favorable. , IFAC (International Federation of Automatic Control) Hosting by Elsevier Ltd. 2021 2021-11-12 /pmc/articles/PMC8588789/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ifacol.2021.10.518 Text en © 2019, IFAC (International Federation of Automatic Control) Hosting by Elsevier Ltd. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active. |
spellingShingle | Article Kereselidze, N. Models of Epidemiological Security Management in the Spread of the SARS-CoV-2 Virus |
title | Models of Epidemiological Security Management in the Spread of the SARS-CoV-2 Virus |
title_full | Models of Epidemiological Security Management in the Spread of the SARS-CoV-2 Virus |
title_fullStr | Models of Epidemiological Security Management in the Spread of the SARS-CoV-2 Virus |
title_full_unstemmed | Models of Epidemiological Security Management in the Spread of the SARS-CoV-2 Virus |
title_short | Models of Epidemiological Security Management in the Spread of the SARS-CoV-2 Virus |
title_sort | models of epidemiological security management in the spread of the sars-cov-2 virus |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8588789/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ifacol.2021.10.518 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT kereselidzen modelsofepidemiologicalsecuritymanagementinthespreadofthesarscov2virus |