(18)F-FDG texture analysis predicts the pathological Fuhrman nuclear grade of clear cell renal cell carcinoma

PURPOSE: This article analyzes the image heterogeneity of clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC) based on positron emission tomography (PET) and positron emission tomography-computed tomography (PET/CT) texture parameters, and provides a new objective quantitative parameter for predicting pathological Fuhrman nuclear grading before surgery. METHODS: A retrospective analysis was performed on preoperative PET/CT images of 49 patients whose surgical pathology was ccRCC, 27 of whom were low grade (Fuhrman I/II) and 22 of whom were high grade (Fuhrman III/IV). Radiological parameters and standard uptake value (SUV) indicators on PET and computed tomography (CT) images were extracted by using the LIFEx software package. The discriminative ability of each texture parameter was evaluated through receiver operating curve (ROC). Binary logistic regression analysis was used to screen the texture parameters with distinguishing and diagnostic capabilities and whose area under curve (AUC) > 0.5. DeLong's test was used to compare the AUCs of PET texture parameter model and PET/CT texture parameter model with traditional maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax) model and the ratio of tumor SUVmax to liver SUVmean (SUL)model. In addition, the models with the larger AUCs among the SUV models and texture models were prospectively internally verified. RESULTS: In the ROC curve analysis, the AUCs of SUVmax model, SUL model, PET texture parameter model, and PET/CT texture parameter model were 0.803, 0.819, 0.873, and 0.926, respectively. The prediction ability of PET texture parameter model or PET/CT texture parameter model was significantly better than SUVmax model (P = 0.017, P = 0.02), but it was not better than SUL model (P = 0.269, P = 0.053). In the prospective validation cohort, both the SUL model and the PET/CT texture parameter model had good predictive ability, and the AUCs of them were 0.727 and 0.792, respectively. CONCLUSION: PET and PET/CT texture parameter models can improve the prediction ability of ccRCC Fuhrman nuclear grade; SUL model may be the more accurate and easiest way to predict ccRCC Fuhrman nuclear grade. GRAPHIC ABSTRACT: [Image: see text] SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00261-021-03246-x.