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Modeling the effects of preventive measures and vaccination on the COVID-19 spread in Benin Republic with optimal control

Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) onset in December 2019 is a contagious disease caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Since, the spread of the virus and mortality due to COVID-19 have continued to increase daily leading to a pandemic. In absence of approved medicine a...

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Autores principales: Agossou, Onésime, Atchadé, Mintodê Nicodème, Djibril, Aliou Moussa
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8592642/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34804781
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rinp.2021.104969
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author Agossou, Onésime
Atchadé, Mintodê Nicodème
Djibril, Aliou Moussa
author_facet Agossou, Onésime
Atchadé, Mintodê Nicodème
Djibril, Aliou Moussa
author_sort Agossou, Onésime
collection PubMed
description Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) onset in December 2019 is a contagious disease caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Since, the spread of the virus and mortality due to COVID-19 have continued to increase daily leading to a pandemic. In absence of approved medicine and vaccines, many countries imposed policies such as social distancing, mask wearing, hand washing, airport screening, quarantine and others. But rapidly, they were confronted with the high economic and social cost resulting from those policies. Many vaccines have been proposed but their efficiency is still controversial. Now, governments and scholars search for how manage with preventives measures policies and vaccination campaigns to stop the COVID-19 spread. This work studied the effects of these different strategies as time-dependent interventions using mathematical modeling and optimal control approach to ascertain their contribution in the dynamic transmission of COVID-19. The model was proven to have an invariant region and was well-posed. The basic reproduction number was computed with and without respect of preventives measures. The optimal control analysis was carried out using the Pontryagin’s maximum principle to figure out the optimal strategy necessary to curtail the disease. The findings revealed that the optimal implementation of preventive measures reduce highly the number of infected individuals but zero infection was not achieved in the population. That was obtained with the optimal implementation of vaccination campaigns which reduce the number of infected individuals. But the optimal and combined implementation of the two interventions performed better with less costs than the two singular implementations.
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spelling pubmed-85926422021-11-16 Modeling the effects of preventive measures and vaccination on the COVID-19 spread in Benin Republic with optimal control Agossou, Onésime Atchadé, Mintodê Nicodème Djibril, Aliou Moussa Results Phys Article Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) onset in December 2019 is a contagious disease caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Since, the spread of the virus and mortality due to COVID-19 have continued to increase daily leading to a pandemic. In absence of approved medicine and vaccines, many countries imposed policies such as social distancing, mask wearing, hand washing, airport screening, quarantine and others. But rapidly, they were confronted with the high economic and social cost resulting from those policies. Many vaccines have been proposed but their efficiency is still controversial. Now, governments and scholars search for how manage with preventives measures policies and vaccination campaigns to stop the COVID-19 spread. This work studied the effects of these different strategies as time-dependent interventions using mathematical modeling and optimal control approach to ascertain their contribution in the dynamic transmission of COVID-19. The model was proven to have an invariant region and was well-posed. The basic reproduction number was computed with and without respect of preventives measures. The optimal control analysis was carried out using the Pontryagin’s maximum principle to figure out the optimal strategy necessary to curtail the disease. The findings revealed that the optimal implementation of preventive measures reduce highly the number of infected individuals but zero infection was not achieved in the population. That was obtained with the optimal implementation of vaccination campaigns which reduce the number of infected individuals. But the optimal and combined implementation of the two interventions performed better with less costs than the two singular implementations. The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. 2021-12 2021-11-16 /pmc/articles/PMC8592642/ /pubmed/34804781 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rinp.2021.104969 Text en © 2021 The Authors Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.
spellingShingle Article
Agossou, Onésime
Atchadé, Mintodê Nicodème
Djibril, Aliou Moussa
Modeling the effects of preventive measures and vaccination on the COVID-19 spread in Benin Republic with optimal control
title Modeling the effects of preventive measures and vaccination on the COVID-19 spread in Benin Republic with optimal control
title_full Modeling the effects of preventive measures and vaccination on the COVID-19 spread in Benin Republic with optimal control
title_fullStr Modeling the effects of preventive measures and vaccination on the COVID-19 spread in Benin Republic with optimal control
title_full_unstemmed Modeling the effects of preventive measures and vaccination on the COVID-19 spread in Benin Republic with optimal control
title_short Modeling the effects of preventive measures and vaccination on the COVID-19 spread in Benin Republic with optimal control
title_sort modeling the effects of preventive measures and vaccination on the covid-19 spread in benin republic with optimal control
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8592642/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34804781
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rinp.2021.104969
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