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Dynamics and optimal control of a stochastic coronavirus (COVID-19) epidemic model with diffusion

In view of the facts in the infection and propagation of COVID-19, a stochastic reaction–diffusion epidemic model is presented to analyse and control this infectious diseases. Stationary distribution and Turing instability of this model are discussed for deriving the sufficient criteria for the pers...

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Autores principales: Li, Yuxi, Wei, Zhouchao
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer Netherlands 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8595080/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34803222
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11071-021-06998-9
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author Li, Yuxi
Wei, Zhouchao
author_facet Li, Yuxi
Wei, Zhouchao
author_sort Li, Yuxi
collection PubMed
description In view of the facts in the infection and propagation of COVID-19, a stochastic reaction–diffusion epidemic model is presented to analyse and control this infectious diseases. Stationary distribution and Turing instability of this model are discussed for deriving the sufficient criteria for the persistence and extinction of disease. Furthermore, the amplitude equations are derived by using Taylor series expansion and weakly nonlinear analysis, and selection of Turing patterns for this model can be determined. In addition, the optimal quarantine control problem for reducing control cost is studied, and the differences between the two models are compared. By applying the optimal control theory, the existence and uniqueness of the optimal control and the optimal solution are obtained. Finally, these results are verified and illustrated by numerical simulation.
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spelling pubmed-85950802021-11-17 Dynamics and optimal control of a stochastic coronavirus (COVID-19) epidemic model with diffusion Li, Yuxi Wei, Zhouchao Nonlinear Dyn Original Paper In view of the facts in the infection and propagation of COVID-19, a stochastic reaction–diffusion epidemic model is presented to analyse and control this infectious diseases. Stationary distribution and Turing instability of this model are discussed for deriving the sufficient criteria for the persistence and extinction of disease. Furthermore, the amplitude equations are derived by using Taylor series expansion and weakly nonlinear analysis, and selection of Turing patterns for this model can be determined. In addition, the optimal quarantine control problem for reducing control cost is studied, and the differences between the two models are compared. By applying the optimal control theory, the existence and uniqueness of the optimal control and the optimal solution are obtained. Finally, these results are verified and illustrated by numerical simulation. Springer Netherlands 2021-11-17 2022 /pmc/articles/PMC8595080/ /pubmed/34803222 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11071-021-06998-9 Text en © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature B.V. 2021 This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic.
spellingShingle Original Paper
Li, Yuxi
Wei, Zhouchao
Dynamics and optimal control of a stochastic coronavirus (COVID-19) epidemic model with diffusion
title Dynamics and optimal control of a stochastic coronavirus (COVID-19) epidemic model with diffusion
title_full Dynamics and optimal control of a stochastic coronavirus (COVID-19) epidemic model with diffusion
title_fullStr Dynamics and optimal control of a stochastic coronavirus (COVID-19) epidemic model with diffusion
title_full_unstemmed Dynamics and optimal control of a stochastic coronavirus (COVID-19) epidemic model with diffusion
title_short Dynamics and optimal control of a stochastic coronavirus (COVID-19) epidemic model with diffusion
title_sort dynamics and optimal control of a stochastic coronavirus (covid-19) epidemic model with diffusion
topic Original Paper
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8595080/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34803222
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11071-021-06998-9
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