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Evolving CO(2) Rather Than SST Leads to a Factor of Ten Decrease in GCM Convergence Time

The high computational cost of Global Climate Models (GCMs) is a problem that limits their use in many areas. Recently an inverse climate modeling (InvCM) method, which fixes the global mean sea surface temperature (SST) and evolves the [Formula: see text] mixing ratio to equilibrate climate, has be...

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Autores principales: Zhang, Yixiao, Bloch‐Johnson, Jonah, Romps, David M., Abbot, Dorian S.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: John Wiley and Sons Inc. 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8596447/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34820055
http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2021MS002505
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author Zhang, Yixiao
Bloch‐Johnson, Jonah
Romps, David M.
Abbot, Dorian S.
author_facet Zhang, Yixiao
Bloch‐Johnson, Jonah
Romps, David M.
Abbot, Dorian S.
author_sort Zhang, Yixiao
collection PubMed
description The high computational cost of Global Climate Models (GCMs) is a problem that limits their use in many areas. Recently an inverse climate modeling (InvCM) method, which fixes the global mean sea surface temperature (SST) and evolves the [Formula: see text] mixing ratio to equilibrate climate, has been implemented in a cloud‐resolving model. In this article, we apply InvCM to ExoCAM GCM aquaplanet simulations, allowing the SST pattern to evolve while maintaining a fixed global‐mean SST. We find that InvCM produces the same climate as normal slab‐ocean simulations but converges an order of magnitude faster. We then use InvCM to calculate the equilibrium [Formula: see text] for SSTs ranging from 290 to 340 K at 1 K intervals and reproduce the large increase in climate sensitivity at an SST of about 315 K at much higher temperature resolution. The speedup provided by InvCM could be used to equilibrate GCMs at higher spatial resolution or to perform broader parameter space exploration in order to gain new insight into the climate system. Additionally, InvCM could be used to find unstable and hidden climate states, and to find climate states close to bifurcations such as the runaway greenhouse transition.
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spelling pubmed-85964472021-11-22 Evolving CO(2) Rather Than SST Leads to a Factor of Ten Decrease in GCM Convergence Time Zhang, Yixiao Bloch‐Johnson, Jonah Romps, David M. Abbot, Dorian S. J Adv Model Earth Syst Research Article The high computational cost of Global Climate Models (GCMs) is a problem that limits their use in many areas. Recently an inverse climate modeling (InvCM) method, which fixes the global mean sea surface temperature (SST) and evolves the [Formula: see text] mixing ratio to equilibrate climate, has been implemented in a cloud‐resolving model. In this article, we apply InvCM to ExoCAM GCM aquaplanet simulations, allowing the SST pattern to evolve while maintaining a fixed global‐mean SST. We find that InvCM produces the same climate as normal slab‐ocean simulations but converges an order of magnitude faster. We then use InvCM to calculate the equilibrium [Formula: see text] for SSTs ranging from 290 to 340 K at 1 K intervals and reproduce the large increase in climate sensitivity at an SST of about 315 K at much higher temperature resolution. The speedup provided by InvCM could be used to equilibrate GCMs at higher spatial resolution or to perform broader parameter space exploration in order to gain new insight into the climate system. Additionally, InvCM could be used to find unstable and hidden climate states, and to find climate states close to bifurcations such as the runaway greenhouse transition. John Wiley and Sons Inc. 2021-10-30 2021-11 /pmc/articles/PMC8596447/ /pubmed/34820055 http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2021MS002505 Text en © 2021 The Authors. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American Geophysical Union. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open access article under the terms of the http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
spellingShingle Research Article
Zhang, Yixiao
Bloch‐Johnson, Jonah
Romps, David M.
Abbot, Dorian S.
Evolving CO(2) Rather Than SST Leads to a Factor of Ten Decrease in GCM Convergence Time
title Evolving CO(2) Rather Than SST Leads to a Factor of Ten Decrease in GCM Convergence Time
title_full Evolving CO(2) Rather Than SST Leads to a Factor of Ten Decrease in GCM Convergence Time
title_fullStr Evolving CO(2) Rather Than SST Leads to a Factor of Ten Decrease in GCM Convergence Time
title_full_unstemmed Evolving CO(2) Rather Than SST Leads to a Factor of Ten Decrease in GCM Convergence Time
title_short Evolving CO(2) Rather Than SST Leads to a Factor of Ten Decrease in GCM Convergence Time
title_sort evolving co(2) rather than sst leads to a factor of ten decrease in gcm convergence time
topic Research Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8596447/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34820055
http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2021MS002505
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