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What we can learn from the dynamics of the 1889 ‘Russian flu’ pandemic for the future trajectory of COVID‐19

A study of the contemporary medical literature for patient symptoms from the so‐called ‘Russian flu’ pandemic from 1889 revealed clinical observations that resemble COVID‐19 (Brüssow and Brüssow, 2021, Microb Biotechnol). If one accepts the hypothesis that this pandemic was a prior coronavirus epide...

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Autor principal: Brüssow, Harald
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: John Wiley and Sons Inc. 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8601188/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34464023
http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1751-7915.13916
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author Brüssow, Harald
author_facet Brüssow, Harald
author_sort Brüssow, Harald
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description A study of the contemporary medical literature for patient symptoms from the so‐called ‘Russian flu’ pandemic from 1889 revealed clinical observations that resemble COVID‐19 (Brüssow and Brüssow, 2021, Microb Biotechnol). If one accepts the hypothesis that this pandemic was a prior coronavirus epidemic, the dynamics of the ‘Russian flu’ from 1889 might give us some ideas about the future trajectory of the COVID‐19 pandemic. The present report compiles and reviews the contemporary data published on the temporal and geographical spread of the ‘Russian flu’, its epidemic wave structure and possible later resurgence. The historical record of past pandemics might thus provide us not with predictions, but ‘retrodictions’ on possible future scenarios for the COVID‐19 pandemic.
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spelling pubmed-86011882021-11-24 What we can learn from the dynamics of the 1889 ‘Russian flu’ pandemic for the future trajectory of COVID‐19 Brüssow, Harald Microb Biotechnol Lilliput A study of the contemporary medical literature for patient symptoms from the so‐called ‘Russian flu’ pandemic from 1889 revealed clinical observations that resemble COVID‐19 (Brüssow and Brüssow, 2021, Microb Biotechnol). If one accepts the hypothesis that this pandemic was a prior coronavirus epidemic, the dynamics of the ‘Russian flu’ from 1889 might give us some ideas about the future trajectory of the COVID‐19 pandemic. The present report compiles and reviews the contemporary data published on the temporal and geographical spread of the ‘Russian flu’, its epidemic wave structure and possible later resurgence. The historical record of past pandemics might thus provide us not with predictions, but ‘retrodictions’ on possible future scenarios for the COVID‐19 pandemic. John Wiley and Sons Inc. 2021-08-31 /pmc/articles/PMC8601188/ /pubmed/34464023 http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1751-7915.13916 Text en © 2021 The Authors. Microbial Biotechnology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd and Society for Applied Microbiology. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open access article under the terms of the http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
spellingShingle Lilliput
Brüssow, Harald
What we can learn from the dynamics of the 1889 ‘Russian flu’ pandemic for the future trajectory of COVID‐19
title What we can learn from the dynamics of the 1889 ‘Russian flu’ pandemic for the future trajectory of COVID‐19
title_full What we can learn from the dynamics of the 1889 ‘Russian flu’ pandemic for the future trajectory of COVID‐19
title_fullStr What we can learn from the dynamics of the 1889 ‘Russian flu’ pandemic for the future trajectory of COVID‐19
title_full_unstemmed What we can learn from the dynamics of the 1889 ‘Russian flu’ pandemic for the future trajectory of COVID‐19
title_short What we can learn from the dynamics of the 1889 ‘Russian flu’ pandemic for the future trajectory of COVID‐19
title_sort what we can learn from the dynamics of the 1889 ‘russian flu’ pandemic for the future trajectory of covid‐19
topic Lilliput
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8601188/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34464023
http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1751-7915.13916
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