Development and Internal Validation of a Preoperative Prediction Model for Sentinel Lymph Node Status in Breast Cancer: Combining Radiomics Signature and Clinical Factors

PURPOSE: To develop and internally validate a nomogram combining radiomics signature of primary tumor and fibroglandular tissue (FGT) based on pharmacokinetic dynamic contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (DCE-MRI) and clinical factors for preoperative prediction of sentinel lymph node (SLN) status in breast cancer patients. METHODS: This study retrospectively enrolled 186 breast cancer patients who underwent pretreatment pharmacokinetic DCE-MRI with positive (n = 93) and negative (n = 93) SLN. Logistic regression models and radiomics signatures of tumor and FGT were constructed after feature extraction and selection. The radiomics signatures were further combined with independent predictors of clinical factors for constructing a combined model. Prediction performance was assessed by receiver operating characteristic (ROC), calibration, and decision curve analysis. The areas under the ROC curve (AUCs) of models were corrected by 1,000-times bootstrapping method and compared by Delong’s test. The added value of each independent model or their combinations was also assessed by net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) indices. This report referred to the “Transparent Reporting of a multivariable prediction model for Individual Prognosis Or Diagnosis” (TRIPOD) statement. RESULTS: The AUCs of the tumor radiomic model (eight features) and the FGT radiomic model (three features) were 0.783 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.717–0.849) and 0.680 (95% CI, 0.604–0.757), respectively. A higher AUC of 0.799 (95% CI, 0.737–0.862) was obtained by combining tumor and FGT radiomics signatures. By further combining tumor and FGT radiomics signatures with progesterone receptor (PR) status, a nomogram was developed and showed better discriminative ability for SLN status [AUC 0.839 (95% CI, 0.783–0.895)]. The IDI and NRI indices also showed significant improvement when combining tumor, FGT, and PR compared with each independent model or a combination of any two of them (all p < 0.05). CONCLUSION: FGT and clinical factors improved the prediction performance of SLN status in breast cancer. A nomogram integrating the DCE-MRI radiomics signature of tumor and FGT and PR expression achieved good performance for the prediction of SLN status, which provides a potential biomarker for clinical treatment decision-making.