Stability of blood eosinophils in acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and its relationship to clinical outcomes: a prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND: The clinical value of blood eosinophils and their stability in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) remains controversial. There are limited studies on association between the stability of blood eosinophils in acute exacerbation of COPD (AECOPD) and clinical outcomes. This study aimed to evaluate the stability of blood eosinophils in hospitalized AECOPD and its relationship to clinical outcomes. METHODS: This prospective observational study recruited patients hospitalized with AECOPD from November 2016 to July 2020. The eligible patients were divided into four groups according to their blood eosinophil counts at admission and discharge: persistently < 300 cells/μl (LL), < 300 cells/μl at admission but ≥ 300 cells/µl at discharge (LH), ≥ 300 cells/μl at admission but < 300 cells/µl at discharge (HL), and persistently ≥ 300 cells/μl (HH). Cox hazard analyses were used to study the association between eosinophil changes and exacerbations or mortality. RESULTS: In 530 patients included, 90 (17.0%) had a high blood eosinophil count (BEC) ≥ 300 cells/µl at admission but 32 (35.6%) of them showed a decreased BEC at discharge. The proportions and distribution for group LL, LH, HL, and HH were 381 (71.9%), 59 (11.1%), 32 (6.0%), and 58 (10.9%), respectively. During hospitalization, the LH group had a higher C-reactive protein level, higher rate of intensive care unit (ICU) admission, and higher total cost. The length of hospital stay of the LH group was longer compared with group LL, HL, or HH (P = 0.002, 0.017, and 0.001, respectively). During a follow-up of 12 months, the HH group was associated with a higher risk of moderate-to-severe exacerbations compared to the LL group (hazard ratio 2.00, 95% confidence interval 1.30–3.08, P = 0.002). Eosinophil changes had no significant association with mortality at 12 months. Sensitivity analyses in patients without asthma and without use of systemic corticosteroids prior to admission did not alter the results. CONCLUSIONS: More attention should be paid to the LH group when evaluating the short-term prognosis of AECOPD. A persistently high BEC was a risk factor for long-term exacerbations. Eosinophil changes during hospitalization could help to predict outcomes. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12931-021-01888-5.