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Bayesian inference across multiple models suggests a strong increase in lethality of COVID-19 in late 2020 in the UK
We apply Bayesian inference methods to a suite of distinct compartmental models of generalised SEIR type, in which diagnosis and quarantine are included via extra compartments. We investigate the evidence for a change in lethality of COVID-19 in late autumn 2020 in the UK, using age-structured, week...
Autores principales: | Pietzonka, Patrick, Brorson, Erik, Bankes, William, Cates, Michael E., Jack, Robert L., Adhikari, Ronojoy |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Public Library of Science
2021
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8612566/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34818345 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0258968 |
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