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Modeling the epidemic control measures in overcoming COVID-19 outbreaks: A fractional-order derivative approach

Novel coronavirus named SARS-CoV-2 is one of the global threads and uncertain challenges worldwide faced at present. It has stroke rapidly around the globe due to viral transmissibility, new variants (strains), and human unconsciousness. Lack of adequate and reliable vaccination and proper treatment...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Ullah, Mohammad Sharif, Higazy, M., Ariful Kabir, K.M.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Elsevier Ltd. 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8626290/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34866811
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2021.111636
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author Ullah, Mohammad Sharif
Higazy, M.
Ariful Kabir, K.M.
author_facet Ullah, Mohammad Sharif
Higazy, M.
Ariful Kabir, K.M.
author_sort Ullah, Mohammad Sharif
collection PubMed
description Novel coronavirus named SARS-CoV-2 is one of the global threads and uncertain challenges worldwide faced at present. It has stroke rapidly around the globe due to viral transmissibility, new variants (strains), and human unconsciousness. Lack of adequate and reliable vaccination and proper treatment, control measures such as self-protection, physical distancing, lockdown, quarantine, and isolation policy plays an essential role in controlling and reducing the pandemic. Decisions on enforcing various control measures should be determined based on a theoretical framework and real-data evidence. We deliberate a general mathematical control measures epidemic model consisting of lockdown, self-protection, physical distancing, quarantine, and isolation compartments. Then, we investigate the proposed model through Caputo fractional order derivative. Fixed point theory has been used to analyze the Caputo fractional-order derivative model's existence and uniqueness solutions, whereas the Adams-Bashforth-Moulton numerical scheme was applied for numerical simulation. Driven by extensive theoretical analysis and numerical simulation, this work further illuminates the substantial impact of various control measures.
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spelling pubmed-86262902021-11-29 Modeling the epidemic control measures in overcoming COVID-19 outbreaks: A fractional-order derivative approach Ullah, Mohammad Sharif Higazy, M. Ariful Kabir, K.M. Chaos Solitons Fractals Article Novel coronavirus named SARS-CoV-2 is one of the global threads and uncertain challenges worldwide faced at present. It has stroke rapidly around the globe due to viral transmissibility, new variants (strains), and human unconsciousness. Lack of adequate and reliable vaccination and proper treatment, control measures such as self-protection, physical distancing, lockdown, quarantine, and isolation policy plays an essential role in controlling and reducing the pandemic. Decisions on enforcing various control measures should be determined based on a theoretical framework and real-data evidence. We deliberate a general mathematical control measures epidemic model consisting of lockdown, self-protection, physical distancing, quarantine, and isolation compartments. Then, we investigate the proposed model through Caputo fractional order derivative. Fixed point theory has been used to analyze the Caputo fractional-order derivative model's existence and uniqueness solutions, whereas the Adams-Bashforth-Moulton numerical scheme was applied for numerical simulation. Driven by extensive theoretical analysis and numerical simulation, this work further illuminates the substantial impact of various control measures. Elsevier Ltd. 2022-02 2021-11-27 /pmc/articles/PMC8626290/ /pubmed/34866811 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2021.111636 Text en © 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.
spellingShingle Article
Ullah, Mohammad Sharif
Higazy, M.
Ariful Kabir, K.M.
Modeling the epidemic control measures in overcoming COVID-19 outbreaks: A fractional-order derivative approach
title Modeling the epidemic control measures in overcoming COVID-19 outbreaks: A fractional-order derivative approach
title_full Modeling the epidemic control measures in overcoming COVID-19 outbreaks: A fractional-order derivative approach
title_fullStr Modeling the epidemic control measures in overcoming COVID-19 outbreaks: A fractional-order derivative approach
title_full_unstemmed Modeling the epidemic control measures in overcoming COVID-19 outbreaks: A fractional-order derivative approach
title_short Modeling the epidemic control measures in overcoming COVID-19 outbreaks: A fractional-order derivative approach
title_sort modeling the epidemic control measures in overcoming covid-19 outbreaks: a fractional-order derivative approach
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8626290/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34866811
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2021.111636
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