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Macroeconomic Image Analysis and GDP Prediction Based on the Genetic Algorithm Radial Basis Function Neural Network (RBFNN-GA)

The prediction of gross domestic product (GDP) is a research hotspot, and its importance is self-evident. Its complex internal change mechanism also increases the difficulty of analyzing GDP data. The genetic algorithm (GA) is applied to the parameter design of the radial basis function neural netwo...

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Autores principales: Zhu, Mingxun, Meng, Zhigang
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Hindawi 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8629678/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34853583
http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/2000159
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author Zhu, Mingxun
Meng, Zhigang
author_facet Zhu, Mingxun
Meng, Zhigang
author_sort Zhu, Mingxun
collection PubMed
description The prediction of gross domestic product (GDP) is a research hotspot, and its importance is self-evident. Its complex internal change mechanism also increases the difficulty of analyzing GDP data. The genetic algorithm (GA) is applied to the parameter design of the radial basis function neural network (RBFNN) based on genetic algorithm optimization (RBFNN-GA). An economic zone GDP image prediction model is proposed, which realizes the optimal design of the center vector, the base width vector of the RBFNN node function, and the weight between the hidden layer and output layer. Based on the GDP data over the years, this paper uses the RBFNN-GA prediction model to analyze and predict the GDP image and compares the image prediction results. The results show that the genetic algorithm is used to optimize RBFNN, which gives full play to the advantages of the two algorithms. The relative error of the RBFNN-GA prediction model is only 3.52%. Compared with the prediction results, the prediction accuracy is significantly higher than the ARIMA time series model and GM (1,1) model.
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spelling pubmed-86296782021-11-30 Macroeconomic Image Analysis and GDP Prediction Based on the Genetic Algorithm Radial Basis Function Neural Network (RBFNN-GA) Zhu, Mingxun Meng, Zhigang Comput Intell Neurosci Research Article The prediction of gross domestic product (GDP) is a research hotspot, and its importance is self-evident. Its complex internal change mechanism also increases the difficulty of analyzing GDP data. The genetic algorithm (GA) is applied to the parameter design of the radial basis function neural network (RBFNN) based on genetic algorithm optimization (RBFNN-GA). An economic zone GDP image prediction model is proposed, which realizes the optimal design of the center vector, the base width vector of the RBFNN node function, and the weight between the hidden layer and output layer. Based on the GDP data over the years, this paper uses the RBFNN-GA prediction model to analyze and predict the GDP image and compares the image prediction results. The results show that the genetic algorithm is used to optimize RBFNN, which gives full play to the advantages of the two algorithms. The relative error of the RBFNN-GA prediction model is only 3.52%. Compared with the prediction results, the prediction accuracy is significantly higher than the ARIMA time series model and GM (1,1) model. Hindawi 2021-11-22 /pmc/articles/PMC8629678/ /pubmed/34853583 http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/2000159 Text en Copyright © 2021 Mingxun Zhu and Zhigang Meng. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
spellingShingle Research Article
Zhu, Mingxun
Meng, Zhigang
Macroeconomic Image Analysis and GDP Prediction Based on the Genetic Algorithm Radial Basis Function Neural Network (RBFNN-GA)
title Macroeconomic Image Analysis and GDP Prediction Based on the Genetic Algorithm Radial Basis Function Neural Network (RBFNN-GA)
title_full Macroeconomic Image Analysis and GDP Prediction Based on the Genetic Algorithm Radial Basis Function Neural Network (RBFNN-GA)
title_fullStr Macroeconomic Image Analysis and GDP Prediction Based on the Genetic Algorithm Radial Basis Function Neural Network (RBFNN-GA)
title_full_unstemmed Macroeconomic Image Analysis and GDP Prediction Based on the Genetic Algorithm Radial Basis Function Neural Network (RBFNN-GA)
title_short Macroeconomic Image Analysis and GDP Prediction Based on the Genetic Algorithm Radial Basis Function Neural Network (RBFNN-GA)
title_sort macroeconomic image analysis and gdp prediction based on the genetic algorithm radial basis function neural network (rbfnn-ga)
topic Research Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8629678/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34853583
http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/2000159
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