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Investigating the Health Effects of 3 Coexisting Tobacco-Related Products Using System Dynamics Population Modeling: An Italian Population Case Study

With the proliferation of tobacco products, there might be a need for more complex models than current two-product models. We have developed a three-product model able to represent interactions between three products in the marketplace. We also investigate if using several implementations of two-pro...

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Autores principales: Camacho, Oscar M., Hill, Andrew, Fiebelkorn, Stacy, Williams, Aaron, Murphy, James
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Frontiers Media S.A. 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8634955/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34869141
http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2021.700473
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author Camacho, Oscar M.
Hill, Andrew
Fiebelkorn, Stacy
Williams, Aaron
Murphy, James
author_facet Camacho, Oscar M.
Hill, Andrew
Fiebelkorn, Stacy
Williams, Aaron
Murphy, James
author_sort Camacho, Oscar M.
collection PubMed
description With the proliferation of tobacco products, there might be a need for more complex models than current two-product models. We have developed a three-product model able to represent interactions between three products in the marketplace. We also investigate if using several implementations of two-product models could provide sufficient information to assess 3 coexisting products. Italy is used as case-study with THPs and e-cigarettes as the products under investigation. We use transitions rates estimated for THPs in Japan and e-cigarettes in the USA to project what could happen if the Italian population were to behave as the Japanese for THP or USA for e-cigarettes. Results suggest that three-product models may be hindered by data availability while two product models could miss potential synergies between products. Both, THP and E-Cigarette scenarios, led to reduction in life-years lost although the Japanese THP scenario reductions were 3 times larger than the USA e-cigarette projections.
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spelling pubmed-86349552021-12-02 Investigating the Health Effects of 3 Coexisting Tobacco-Related Products Using System Dynamics Population Modeling: An Italian Population Case Study Camacho, Oscar M. Hill, Andrew Fiebelkorn, Stacy Williams, Aaron Murphy, James Front Public Health Public Health With the proliferation of tobacco products, there might be a need for more complex models than current two-product models. We have developed a three-product model able to represent interactions between three products in the marketplace. We also investigate if using several implementations of two-product models could provide sufficient information to assess 3 coexisting products. Italy is used as case-study with THPs and e-cigarettes as the products under investigation. We use transitions rates estimated for THPs in Japan and e-cigarettes in the USA to project what could happen if the Italian population were to behave as the Japanese for THP or USA for e-cigarettes. Results suggest that three-product models may be hindered by data availability while two product models could miss potential synergies between products. Both, THP and E-Cigarette scenarios, led to reduction in life-years lost although the Japanese THP scenario reductions were 3 times larger than the USA e-cigarette projections. Frontiers Media S.A. 2021-11-16 /pmc/articles/PMC8634955/ /pubmed/34869141 http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2021.700473 Text en Copyright © 2021 Camacho, Hill, Fiebelkorn, Williams and Murphy. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
spellingShingle Public Health
Camacho, Oscar M.
Hill, Andrew
Fiebelkorn, Stacy
Williams, Aaron
Murphy, James
Investigating the Health Effects of 3 Coexisting Tobacco-Related Products Using System Dynamics Population Modeling: An Italian Population Case Study
title Investigating the Health Effects of 3 Coexisting Tobacco-Related Products Using System Dynamics Population Modeling: An Italian Population Case Study
title_full Investigating the Health Effects of 3 Coexisting Tobacco-Related Products Using System Dynamics Population Modeling: An Italian Population Case Study
title_fullStr Investigating the Health Effects of 3 Coexisting Tobacco-Related Products Using System Dynamics Population Modeling: An Italian Population Case Study
title_full_unstemmed Investigating the Health Effects of 3 Coexisting Tobacco-Related Products Using System Dynamics Population Modeling: An Italian Population Case Study
title_short Investigating the Health Effects of 3 Coexisting Tobacco-Related Products Using System Dynamics Population Modeling: An Italian Population Case Study
title_sort investigating the health effects of 3 coexisting tobacco-related products using system dynamics population modeling: an italian population case study
topic Public Health
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8634955/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34869141
http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2021.700473
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