God is in the rain: The impact of rainfall-induced early social distancing on COVID-19 outbreaks

We measure the benefit to society created by preventing COVID-19 deaths through a marginal increase in early social distancing. We exploit county-level rainfall on the last weekend before statewide lockdown in the early phase of the pandemic. After controlling for historical rainfall, temperature, a...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Shenoy, Ajay, Sharma, Bhavyaa, Xu, Guanghong, Kapoor, Rolly, Rho, Haedong Aiden, Sangha, Kinpritma
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. 2022
Materias:
Article
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8654737/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34923344
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jhealeco.2021.102575
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author Shenoy, Ajay
Sharma, Bhavyaa
Xu, Guanghong
Kapoor, Rolly
Rho, Haedong Aiden
Sangha, Kinpritma
author_facet Shenoy, Ajay
Sharma, Bhavyaa
Xu, Guanghong
Kapoor, Rolly
Rho, Haedong Aiden
Sangha, Kinpritma
author_sort Shenoy, Ajay
collection PubMed
description We measure the benefit to society created by preventing COVID-19 deaths through a marginal increase in early social distancing. We exploit county-level rainfall on the last weekend before statewide lockdown in the early phase of the pandemic. After controlling for historical rainfall, temperature, and state fixed-effects, current rainfall is a plausibly exogenous instrument for social distancing. A one percent decrease in the population leaving home on the weekend before lockdown creates an average of 132 dollars of benefit per county resident within 2 weeks. The impacts of earlier distancing compound over time and mainly arise from lowering the risk of a major outbreak, yielding large but unevenly distributed social benefit.
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spelling pubmed-86547372021-12-09 God is in the rain: The impact of rainfall-induced early social distancing on COVID-19 outbreaks Shenoy, Ajay Sharma, Bhavyaa Xu, Guanghong Kapoor, Rolly Rho, Haedong Aiden Sangha, Kinpritma J Health Econ Article We measure the benefit to society created by preventing COVID-19 deaths through a marginal increase in early social distancing. We exploit county-level rainfall on the last weekend before statewide lockdown in the early phase of the pandemic. After controlling for historical rainfall, temperature, and state fixed-effects, current rainfall is a plausibly exogenous instrument for social distancing. A one percent decrease in the population leaving home on the weekend before lockdown creates an average of 132 dollars of benefit per county resident within 2 weeks. The impacts of earlier distancing compound over time and mainly arise from lowering the risk of a major outbreak, yielding large but unevenly distributed social benefit. The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. 2022-01 2021-12-09 /pmc/articles/PMC8654737/ /pubmed/34923344 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jhealeco.2021.102575 Text en © 2021 The Authors Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.
spellingShingle Article
Shenoy, Ajay
Sharma, Bhavyaa
Xu, Guanghong
Kapoor, Rolly
Rho, Haedong Aiden
Sangha, Kinpritma
God is in the rain: The impact of rainfall-induced early social distancing on COVID-19 outbreaks
title God is in the rain: The impact of rainfall-induced early social distancing on COVID-19 outbreaks
title_full God is in the rain: The impact of rainfall-induced early social distancing on COVID-19 outbreaks
title_fullStr God is in the rain: The impact of rainfall-induced early social distancing on COVID-19 outbreaks
title_full_unstemmed God is in the rain: The impact of rainfall-induced early social distancing on COVID-19 outbreaks
title_short God is in the rain: The impact of rainfall-induced early social distancing on COVID-19 outbreaks
title_sort god is in the rain: the impact of rainfall-induced early social distancing on covid-19 outbreaks
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8654737/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34923344
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jhealeco.2021.102575
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