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Statistical influence of travelling distance on home advantage over 57 years in the men’s German first soccer division

A statistical analysis is presented that investigates the dependence of team cities’ geographical distances on the effect of home advantage (HA) for 57 years of the men’s German first soccer division (“Bundesliga”), including 17,376 matches (seasons starting from 1964 to 2020). The data shows that t...

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Autor principal: Beckmann, Nils
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8656141/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s12662-021-00787-7
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author Beckmann, Nils
author_facet Beckmann, Nils
author_sort Beckmann, Nils
collection PubMed
description A statistical analysis is presented that investigates the dependence of team cities’ geographical distances on the effect of home advantage (HA) for 57 years of the men’s German first soccer division (“Bundesliga”), including 17,376 matches (seasons starting from 1964 to 2020). The data shows that the HA can clearly be evidenced in the past and present (statistical p‑value < 0.01) and that it also exists for negligible distances (p < 0.01). The HA and the influence of distance on the HA both significantly decreased gradually over the last decades (p < 0.01). For the first and only time, the HA reversed into an away advantage (AA) for the season 2019/2020 (p < 0.01). The influence of distance on HA has been significant (p < 0.01) in the past (before about 1990) and contributed roughly by about half, compared to a situation without HA or AA. It increases with distance and saturates at around 100 km. Such saturation behaviour is in line with results from higher divisions of other countries with similar travelling distances such as Italy, Turkey and England. However, the distance-dependent contribution to HA has been approximately halved and reduced to an insignificant amount today. Furthermore, the temporal HA reduction is significantly larger for large distances compared to short distances (p < 0.01). Reporting and quantifying a reduction (p < 0.01) of the distance-dependent contribution to HA over a time span of 57 years is novel.
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spelling pubmed-86561412021-12-09 Statistical influence of travelling distance on home advantage over 57 years in the men’s German first soccer division Beckmann, Nils Ger J Exerc Sport Res Main Article A statistical analysis is presented that investigates the dependence of team cities’ geographical distances on the effect of home advantage (HA) for 57 years of the men’s German first soccer division (“Bundesliga”), including 17,376 matches (seasons starting from 1964 to 2020). The data shows that the HA can clearly be evidenced in the past and present (statistical p‑value < 0.01) and that it also exists for negligible distances (p < 0.01). The HA and the influence of distance on the HA both significantly decreased gradually over the last decades (p < 0.01). For the first and only time, the HA reversed into an away advantage (AA) for the season 2019/2020 (p < 0.01). The influence of distance on HA has been significant (p < 0.01) in the past (before about 1990) and contributed roughly by about half, compared to a situation without HA or AA. It increases with distance and saturates at around 100 km. Such saturation behaviour is in line with results from higher divisions of other countries with similar travelling distances such as Italy, Turkey and England. However, the distance-dependent contribution to HA has been approximately halved and reduced to an insignificant amount today. Furthermore, the temporal HA reduction is significantly larger for large distances compared to short distances (p < 0.01). Reporting and quantifying a reduction (p < 0.01) of the distance-dependent contribution to HA over a time span of 57 years is novel. Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2021-12-09 2022 /pmc/articles/PMC8656141/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s12662-021-00787-7 Text en © The Author(s) 2021 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) .
spellingShingle Main Article
Beckmann, Nils
Statistical influence of travelling distance on home advantage over 57 years in the men’s German first soccer division
title Statistical influence of travelling distance on home advantage over 57 years in the men’s German first soccer division
title_full Statistical influence of travelling distance on home advantage over 57 years in the men’s German first soccer division
title_fullStr Statistical influence of travelling distance on home advantage over 57 years in the men’s German first soccer division
title_full_unstemmed Statistical influence of travelling distance on home advantage over 57 years in the men’s German first soccer division
title_short Statistical influence of travelling distance on home advantage over 57 years in the men’s German first soccer division
title_sort statistical influence of travelling distance on home advantage over 57 years in the men’s german first soccer division
topic Main Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8656141/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s12662-021-00787-7
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