The importance of saturating density dependence for population-level predictions of SARS-CoV-2 resurgence compared with density-independent or linearly density-dependent models, England, 23 March to 31 July 2020

BACKGROUND: Population-level mathematical models of outbreaks typically assume that disease transmission is not impacted by population density (‘frequency-dependent’) or that it increases linearly with density (‘density-dependent’). AIM: We sought evidence for the role of population density in SARS-...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Nightingale, Emily S, Brady, Oliver J, Yakob, Laith, Gimma, Amy, Jit, Mark, Jarvis, Christopher I, Waterlow, Naomi R, Procter, Simon R, Auzenbergs, Megan, Tully, Damien C, Simons, David, Endo, Akira, Hellewell, Joel, Lowe, Rachel, Foss, Anna M, van Zandvoort, Kevin, Pearson, Carl AB, Showering, Alicia, Klepac, Petra, Medley, Graham, Quilty, Billy J, Diamond, Charlie, Edmunds, W John, Rosello, Alicia, Barnard, Rosanna C, Abbas, Kaja, Sherratt, Katharine, Williams, Jack, Meakin, Sophie R, Quaife, Matthew, Russell, Timothy W, Villabona-Arenas, C Julian, Prem, Kiesha, Sun, Fiona Yueqian, Davies, Nicholas G, Eggo, Rosalind M, Knight, Gwenan M, Kucharski, Adam J, Sandmann, Frank G, Funk, Sebastian, Gore-Langton, Georgia R, Flasche, Stefan, Jombart, Thibaut, Gibbs, Hamish P, Liu, Yang, Brady, Oliver, Bosse, Nikos I, Chan, Yung-Wai Desmond, Abbott, Sam, Clifford, Samuel, Atkins, Katherine E, Munday, James D
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) 2021
Materias:
Research
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8662798/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34886944
http://dx.doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2021.26.49.2001809

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