Cargando…

Deciphering early-warning signals of SARS-CoV-2 elimination and resurgence from limited data at multiple scales

Inferring the transmission potential of an infectious disease during low-incidence periods following epidemic waves is crucial for preparedness. In such periods, scarce data may hinder existing inference methods, blurring early-warning signals essential for discriminating between the likelihoods of...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales:	Parag, Kris V., Cowling, Benjamin J., Donnelly, Christl A.
Formato:	Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:	English
Publicado:	The Royal Society 2021
Materias:	Life Sciences–Mathematics interface
Acceso en línea:	https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8672070/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34905965 http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2021.0569

Ejemplares similares

Sub-spreading events limit the reliable elimination of heterogeneous epidemics
por: Parag, Kris V.
Publicado: (2021)

Interventions targeting non-symptomatic cases can be important to prevent local outbreaks: SARS-CoV-2 as a case study
por: Lovell-Read, Francesca A., et al.
Publicado: (2021)

Fundamental limits on inferring epidemic resurgence in real time using effective reproduction numbers
por: Parag, Kris V., et al.
Publicado: (2022)

Anticipating infectious disease re-emergence and elimination: a test of early warning signals using empirically based models
por: Tredennick, Andrew T., et al.
Publicado: (2022)

Universal early warning signals of phase transitions in climate systems
por: Dylewsky, Daniel, et al.
Publicado: (2023)

Detecting and distinguishing tipping points using spectral early warning signals
por: Bury, T. M., et al.
Publicado: (2020)

Inference of COVID-19 epidemiological distributions from Brazilian hospital data
por: Hawryluk, Iwona, et al.
Publicado: (2020)

The importance of the generation interval in investigating dynamics and control of new SARS-CoV-2 variants
por: Park, Sang Woo, et al.
Publicado: (2022)

Assessing the asymptomatic proportion of SARS-CoV-2 infection with age in China before mass vaccination
por: Wang, Zengmiao, et al.
Publicado: (2022)

SARS-CoV-2 screening: effectiveness and risk of increasing transmission
por: Skittrall, Jordan P.
Publicado: (2021)

Introduction of rubella-containing-vaccine to Madagascar: implications for roll-out and local elimination
por: Wesolowski, Amy, et al.
Publicado: (2016)

Trade-offs between mobility restrictions and transmission of SARS-CoV-2
por: Gösgens, Martijn, et al.
Publicado: (2021)

The role of inter-regional mobility in forecasting SARS-CoV-2 transmission
por: Schoot Uiterkamp, Martijn H. H., et al.
Publicado: (2022)

Reconciling early-outbreak estimates of the basic reproductive number and its uncertainty: framework and applications to the novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) outbreak
por: Park, Sang Woo, et al.
Publicado: (2020)

Mathematical models and deep learning for predicting the number of individuals reported to be infected with SARS-CoV-2
por: Fokas, A. S., et al.
Publicado: (2020)

COVID-19 pandemic dynamics in India, the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant and implications for vaccination
por: Yang, Wan, et al.
Publicado: (2022)

Modelling the viral dynamics of the SARS-CoV-2 Delta and Omicron variants in different cell types
por: McCormack, Clare P., et al.
Publicado: (2023)

Role of high-dose exposure in transmission hot zones as a driver of SARS-CoV-2 dynamics
por: Wodarz, Dominik, et al.
Publicado: (2021)

Trajectory of individual immunity and vaccination required for SARS-CoV-2 community immunity: a conceptual investigation
por: Saad-Roy, Chadi M., et al.
Publicado: (2021)

Spatio-temporal surveillance and early detection of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern: a retrospective analysis
por: Cavallaro, Massimo, et al.
Publicado: (2023)

Temporal variation of human encounters and the number of locations in which they occur: a longitudinal study of Hong Kong residents
por: Kwok, Kin On, et al.
Publicado: (2018)

Comparison between one and two dose SARS-CoV-2 vaccine prioritization for a fixed number of vaccine doses
por: Hill, Edward M., et al.
Publicado: (2021)

Limits to the rate of information transmission through the MAPK pathway
por: Grabowski, Frederic, et al.
Publicado: (2019)

Limits to the evolution of dispersal kernels under rapid fragmentation
por: Greenbaum, Gili, et al.
Publicado: (2022)

Urban scaling in Europe
por: Bettencourt, Luís M. A., et al.
Publicado: (2016)

What is pathogen-mediated insect superabundance?
por: Donnelly, Ruairí, et al.
Publicado: (2020)

Early warnings for multi-stage transitions in dynamics on networks
por: MacLaren, Neil G., et al.
Publicado: (2023)

COVID-19 hospitalization rates rise exponentially with age, inversely proportional to thymic T-cell production
por: Palmer, Sam, et al.
Publicado: (2021)

Time variation in the probability of failing to detect a case of polymerase chain reaction testing for SARS-CoV-2 as estimated from a viral dynamics model
por: Ejima, Keisuke, et al.
Publicado: (2021)

Urban geography and scaling of contemporary Indian cities
por: Sahasranaman, Anand, et al.
Publicado: (2019)

No warning for slow transitions
por: van der Bolt, Bregje, et al.
Publicado: (2021)

How the geometry of cities determines urban scaling laws
por: Molinero, Carlos, et al.
Publicado: (2021)

Inflow restrictions can prevent epidemics when contact tracing efforts are effective but have limited capacity
por: Malmberg, Hannes, et al.
Publicado: (2020)

Connecting empirical phenomena and theoretical models of biological coordination across scales
por: Zhang, Mengsen, et al.
Publicado: (2019)

A multi-scale model explains oscillatory slowing and neuronal hyperactivity in Alzheimer’s disease
por: Alexandersen, Christoffer G., et al.
Publicado: (2023)

Cluster mean-field theory accurately predicts statistical properties of large-scale DNA methylation patterns
por: Kerr, Lyndsay, et al.
Publicado: (2022)

Multi-scale modelling reveals that early super-spreader events are a likely contributor to novel variant predominance
por: Goyal, Ashish, et al.
Publicado: (2022)

Multi-scale mechanistic modelling of the host defence in invasive aspergillosis reveals leucocyte activation and iron acquisition as drivers of infection outcome
por: Ribeiro, Henrique AL, et al.
Publicado: (2022)

A data driven agent-based model that recommends non-pharmaceutical interventions to suppress Coronavirus disease 2019 resurgence in megacities
por: Yin, Ling, et al.
Publicado: (2021)

Modelling the impact of shutdowns on resurging SARS-CoV-2 transmission in Canada
por: Ng, Victoria, et al.
Publicado: (2021)

Cannot write session to /tmp/vufind_sessions/sess_p2eenqjncd7lo1scbjdhfvip9k