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A polygenic score for educational attainment partially predicts voter turnout

Twin and adoption studies have shown that individual differences in political participation can be explained, in part, by genetic variation. However, these research designs cannot identify which genes are related to voting or the pathways through which they exert influence, and their conclusions rel...

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Autores principales: Dawes, Christopher T., Okbay, Aysu, Oskarsson, Sven, Rustichini, Aldo
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: National Academy of Sciences 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8685665/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34873032
http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2022715118
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author Dawes, Christopher T.
Okbay, Aysu
Oskarsson, Sven
Rustichini, Aldo
author_facet Dawes, Christopher T.
Okbay, Aysu
Oskarsson, Sven
Rustichini, Aldo
author_sort Dawes, Christopher T.
collection PubMed
description Twin and adoption studies have shown that individual differences in political participation can be explained, in part, by genetic variation. However, these research designs cannot identify which genes are related to voting or the pathways through which they exert influence, and their conclusions rely on possibly restrictive assumptions. In this study, we use three different US samples and a Swedish sample to test whether genes that have been identified as associated with educational attainment, one of the strongest correlates of political participation, predict self-reported and validated voter turnout. We find that a polygenic score capturing individuals’ genetic propensity to acquire education is significantly related to turnout. The strongest associations we observe are in second-order midterm elections in the United States and European Parliament elections in Sweden, which tend to be viewed as less important by voters, parties, and the media and thus present a more information-poor electoral environment for citizens to navigate. A within-family analysis suggests that individuals’ education-linked genes directly affect their voting behavior, but, for second-order elections, it also reveals evidence of genetic nurture. Finally, a mediation analysis suggests that educational attainment and cognitive ability combine to account for between 41% and 63% of the relationship between the genetic propensity to acquire education and voter turnout.
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spelling pubmed-86856652022-01-06 A polygenic score for educational attainment partially predicts voter turnout Dawes, Christopher T. Okbay, Aysu Oskarsson, Sven Rustichini, Aldo Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A Social Sciences Twin and adoption studies have shown that individual differences in political participation can be explained, in part, by genetic variation. However, these research designs cannot identify which genes are related to voting or the pathways through which they exert influence, and their conclusions rely on possibly restrictive assumptions. In this study, we use three different US samples and a Swedish sample to test whether genes that have been identified as associated with educational attainment, one of the strongest correlates of political participation, predict self-reported and validated voter turnout. We find that a polygenic score capturing individuals’ genetic propensity to acquire education is significantly related to turnout. The strongest associations we observe are in second-order midterm elections in the United States and European Parliament elections in Sweden, which tend to be viewed as less important by voters, parties, and the media and thus present a more information-poor electoral environment for citizens to navigate. A within-family analysis suggests that individuals’ education-linked genes directly affect their voting behavior, but, for second-order elections, it also reveals evidence of genetic nurture. Finally, a mediation analysis suggests that educational attainment and cognitive ability combine to account for between 41% and 63% of the relationship between the genetic propensity to acquire education and voter turnout. National Academy of Sciences 2021-12-06 2021-12-14 /pmc/articles/PMC8685665/ /pubmed/34873032 http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2022715118 Text en Copyright © 2021 the Author(s). Published by PNAS. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/This open access article is distributed under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives License 4.0 (CC BY-NC-ND) (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/) .
spellingShingle Social Sciences
Dawes, Christopher T.
Okbay, Aysu
Oskarsson, Sven
Rustichini, Aldo
A polygenic score for educational attainment partially predicts voter turnout
title A polygenic score for educational attainment partially predicts voter turnout
title_full A polygenic score for educational attainment partially predicts voter turnout
title_fullStr A polygenic score for educational attainment partially predicts voter turnout
title_full_unstemmed A polygenic score for educational attainment partially predicts voter turnout
title_short A polygenic score for educational attainment partially predicts voter turnout
title_sort polygenic score for educational attainment partially predicts voter turnout
topic Social Sciences
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8685665/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34873032
http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2022715118
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