Exploring the Functionality of Mesh-to-Mesh Value Comparison in Pair-Matching and Its Application to Fragmentary Remains

SIMPLE SUMMARY: Forensic anthropologists often face the task of analysing a mixed group of skeletal remains or matching a solitary bone with the rest of a skeleton to determine if it belongs to the same individual. One of the best ways to do this is by pair-matching left and right bones of the same type. Common pair-matching methods experience issues such as high levels of subjectivity, lack of reliability, or expensive cost of implementation. This study explores the application of the relatively new method, mesh-to-mesh value comparison (MVC), which matches paired bones based on morphological shape to determine the likelihood that they derive from the same individual. This study sought to expand on the success found in past publications using MVC and to see how well it performed on a sample of clavicles, a bone known for having a high degree of bilateral variability, of 80 modern Turkish individuals. This study also explored whether MVC can reliably match fragmented bones to their intact counterpart. Results show MVC successfully matched 88.8% of paired clavicles and suggest the method continues to be a promising avenue for pair-matching that is not affected by ancestry and may be applicable to fragmented remains with further study. ABSTRACT: Many cases encountered by forensic anthropologists involve commingled remains or isolated elements. Common methods for analysing these contexts are characterised by limitations such as high degrees of subjectivity, high cost of application, or low proven accuracy. This study sought to test mesh-to-mesh value comparison (MCV), a relatively new method for pair-matching skeletal elements, to validate the claims that the technique is unaffected by age, sex and pathology. The sample consisted of 160 three-dimensional clavicle models created from computed tomography (CT) scans of a contemporary Turkish population. Additionally, this research explored the application of MVC to match fragmented elements to their intact counterparts by creating a sample of 480 simulated fragments, consisting of three different types based on the region of the bone they originate from. For comparing whole clavicles, this resulted in a sensitivity value of 87.6% and specificity of 90.9% using ROC analysis comparing clavicles. For the fragment comparisons, each type was compared to the entire clavicles of the opposite side. The results included a range of sensitivity values from 81.3% to 87.6%. Overall results are promising and the MVC technique seems to be a useful technique for matching paired elements that can be accurately applied to a Modern Turkish sample.