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Prognostic Implications of a Modified Seattle Heart Failure Model Score Following Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement

Background: The Seattle heart failure model (SHFM) score is a well-known risk predictor of mortality in patients with heart failure. We validated this score in patients receiving transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) and aimed to generate further risk discrimination by adding invasive hemody...

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Autores principales: Imamura, Teruhiko, Narang, Nikhil, Onoda, Hiroshi, Tanaka, Shuhei, Ushijima, Ryuichi, Sobajima, Mitsuo, Fukuda, Nobuyuki, Ueno, Hiroshi, Kinugawa, Koichiro
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: MDPI 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8709098/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34945103
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/jcm10245807
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author Imamura, Teruhiko
Narang, Nikhil
Onoda, Hiroshi
Tanaka, Shuhei
Ushijima, Ryuichi
Sobajima, Mitsuo
Fukuda, Nobuyuki
Ueno, Hiroshi
Kinugawa, Koichiro
author_facet Imamura, Teruhiko
Narang, Nikhil
Onoda, Hiroshi
Tanaka, Shuhei
Ushijima, Ryuichi
Sobajima, Mitsuo
Fukuda, Nobuyuki
Ueno, Hiroshi
Kinugawa, Koichiro
author_sort Imamura, Teruhiko
collection PubMed
description Background: The Seattle heart failure model (SHFM) score is a well-known risk predictor of mortality in patients with heart failure. We validated this score in patients receiving transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) and aimed to generate further risk discrimination by adding invasive hemodynamics parameters. Methods: Patients who underwent TAVR at our institute between 2015 and 2020 were included and followed for 2 years from index discharge. Patients were randomly assigned to the derivation cohort or the validation cohort. In the derivation cohort, the original SHFM score was modified by adding baseline hemodynamics parameters to evaluate the primary outcomes: 2-year incidence of mortality or readmission from heart failure. The model performance of the modified SHFM score was evaluated in the validation cohort. Results: A total of 217 patients (median age: 86 (83, 88) years old, 64 (29%) men) were included. From the derivation cohort (N = 108), a novel modified SHFM score was constructed: 6 × (original SHFM score < 88.1%) + 5 × (pulmonary capillary wedge pressure > 14 mmHg) + 4 × (cardiac index < 2.26 L/min/m(2)), which had an improved discrimination compared with the original model (area under the curve: 0.887 vs. 0.679, p = 0.014). In the validation cohort (N = 109), the modified SHFM score showed accurate predictive discrimination of the 2-year cumulative incidence of the primary endpoint into three groups (a low score group with 0–5 points, 3%; an intermediate score group with 6–10 points, 12%; and a high score group with 11–15 points, 43%, p < 0.001). Conclusion: A modified SHFM score consisting of the original SHFM score and invasive hemodynamics parameters predicted mortality and morbidity following TAVR. Evaluation of the external validity of this score in other cohorts needs further investigation.
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spelling pubmed-87090982021-12-25 Prognostic Implications of a Modified Seattle Heart Failure Model Score Following Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement Imamura, Teruhiko Narang, Nikhil Onoda, Hiroshi Tanaka, Shuhei Ushijima, Ryuichi Sobajima, Mitsuo Fukuda, Nobuyuki Ueno, Hiroshi Kinugawa, Koichiro J Clin Med Article Background: The Seattle heart failure model (SHFM) score is a well-known risk predictor of mortality in patients with heart failure. We validated this score in patients receiving transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) and aimed to generate further risk discrimination by adding invasive hemodynamics parameters. Methods: Patients who underwent TAVR at our institute between 2015 and 2020 were included and followed for 2 years from index discharge. Patients were randomly assigned to the derivation cohort or the validation cohort. In the derivation cohort, the original SHFM score was modified by adding baseline hemodynamics parameters to evaluate the primary outcomes: 2-year incidence of mortality or readmission from heart failure. The model performance of the modified SHFM score was evaluated in the validation cohort. Results: A total of 217 patients (median age: 86 (83, 88) years old, 64 (29%) men) were included. From the derivation cohort (N = 108), a novel modified SHFM score was constructed: 6 × (original SHFM score < 88.1%) + 5 × (pulmonary capillary wedge pressure > 14 mmHg) + 4 × (cardiac index < 2.26 L/min/m(2)), which had an improved discrimination compared with the original model (area under the curve: 0.887 vs. 0.679, p = 0.014). In the validation cohort (N = 109), the modified SHFM score showed accurate predictive discrimination of the 2-year cumulative incidence of the primary endpoint into three groups (a low score group with 0–5 points, 3%; an intermediate score group with 6–10 points, 12%; and a high score group with 11–15 points, 43%, p < 0.001). Conclusion: A modified SHFM score consisting of the original SHFM score and invasive hemodynamics parameters predicted mortality and morbidity following TAVR. Evaluation of the external validity of this score in other cohorts needs further investigation. MDPI 2021-12-11 /pmc/articles/PMC8709098/ /pubmed/34945103 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/jcm10245807 Text en © 2021 by the authors. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
spellingShingle Article
Imamura, Teruhiko
Narang, Nikhil
Onoda, Hiroshi
Tanaka, Shuhei
Ushijima, Ryuichi
Sobajima, Mitsuo
Fukuda, Nobuyuki
Ueno, Hiroshi
Kinugawa, Koichiro
Prognostic Implications of a Modified Seattle Heart Failure Model Score Following Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement
title Prognostic Implications of a Modified Seattle Heart Failure Model Score Following Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement
title_full Prognostic Implications of a Modified Seattle Heart Failure Model Score Following Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement
title_fullStr Prognostic Implications of a Modified Seattle Heart Failure Model Score Following Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement
title_full_unstemmed Prognostic Implications of a Modified Seattle Heart Failure Model Score Following Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement
title_short Prognostic Implications of a Modified Seattle Heart Failure Model Score Following Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement
title_sort prognostic implications of a modified seattle heart failure model score following transcatheter aortic valve replacement
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8709098/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34945103
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/jcm10245807
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