Conjoint analysis of circulating tumor cells and solid tumors for exploring potential prognostic markers and constructing a robust novel predictive signature for breast cancer

BACKGROUND: Distance metastasis is the leading cause of death for breast cancer patients, and circulating tumor cells (CTCs) play a key role in cancer metastasis. There have been few studies on CTCs at the molecular level due to their rarity, and the heterogeneity of CTCs may provide special information for solid tumor analysis. METHODS: In this study, we used the gene expression and clinical information of single-cell RNA-seq data of CTCs of breast cancer and discovered a cluster of epithelial cells that had more aggressive characteristics. The differentially expressed genes (DEGs) between the identified epithelial cells cluster and others from single-CTCs were selected for further analysis in bulk sequence data of solid breast cancers. RESULTS: Eighteen genes closely related to the specific CTC epithelial phenotype and breast cancer patient prognosis were identified. Among these 18 genes, we selected the GARS gene, which has not been studied in breast cancer, for functional research and confirmed that it may be a potential oncogene in breast cancer. A risk score was established by the 18 genes, and a high-risk score was strongly associated with a high metastasis rate and poor survival prognosis in breast cancer. The high-risk score group was related to a defective immune infiltration environment in breast cancer, and the immune checkpoint therapy response rate was lower in this group. The drug-sensitive analysis shows that the high-risk score patients may be more sensitive to AKT-mTOR and the cyclin-dependent kinase (CDK) pathways drugs than low-risk score patients. CONCLUSIONS: Our 18-gene risk score shows good prognostic and predictive values and might be a personalized prognostic marker or therapy guide marker in breast cancer patients. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12935-021-02415-8.