Prognostic value of regional myocardial flow reserve derived from (13)N-ammonia positron emission tomography in patients with suspected coronary artery disease

PURPOSE: To assess the prognostic value of regional quantitative myocardial flow measures as assessed by (13)N-ammonia positron emission tomography (PET) myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) in patients with suspected coronary artery disease (CAD). METHODS: We retrospectively included 150 consecutive patients with suspected CAD who underwent clinically indicated 13 N-ammonia PET-MPI and who did not undergo revascularization within 90 days of PET-MPI. The presence or absence of a decreased global myocardial flow reserve (i.e., MFR < 2) as well as decreased regional MFR (i.e., ≥ 2 adjacent segments with MFR < 2) was recorded, and patients were classified as having preserved global and regional MFR (MFR group 1), preserved global but decreased regional MFR (MFR group 2), or decreased global and regional MFR (MFR group 3). We obtained follow-up regarding major adverse cardiac events (MACE, i.e., a combined endpoint including all-cause death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, and late revascularization) and all-cause death. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 50 months (IQR 38–103), 30 events occurred in 29 patients. Kaplan–Meier analysis showed significantly reduced event-free and overall survival in MFR groups 2 and 3 compared to MFR group 1 (log-rank: p = 0.015 and p = 0.013). In a multivariable Cox regression analysis, decreased regional MFR was an independent predictor for MACE (adjusted HR 3.44, 95% CI 1.17–10.11, p = 0.024) and all-cause death (adjusted HR 4.72, 95% CI 1.07–20.7, p = 0.04). CONCLUSIONS: A decreased regional MFR as assessed by 13 N-ammonia PET-MPI confers prognostic value by identifying patients at increased risk for future adverse cardiac outcomes and all-cause death. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00259-021-05459-0.