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Tracing contacts to evaluate the transmission of COVID-19 from highly exposed individuals in public transportation

We investigate, through a data-driven contact tracing model, the transmission of COVID-19 inside buses during distinct phases of the pandemic in a large Brazilian city. From this microscopic approach, we recover the networks of close contacts within consecutive time windows. A longitudinal compariso...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Ponte, Caio, Carmona, Humberto A., Oliveira, Erneson A., Caminha, Carlos, Lima, Antonio S., Andrade, José S., Furtado, Vasco
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8712527/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34961776
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-03998-y
Descripción
Sumario:We investigate, through a data-driven contact tracing model, the transmission of COVID-19 inside buses during distinct phases of the pandemic in a large Brazilian city. From this microscopic approach, we recover the networks of close contacts within consecutive time windows. A longitudinal comparison is then performed by upscaling the traced contacts with the transmission computed from a mean-field compartmental model for the entire city. Our results show that the effective reproduction numbers inside the buses, [Formula: see text] , and in the city, [Formula: see text] , followed a compatible behavior during the first wave of the local outbreak. Moreover, by distinguishing the close contacts of healthcare workers in the buses, we discovered that their transmission, [Formula: see text] , during the same period, was systematically higher than [Formula: see text] . This result reinforces the need for special public transportation policies for highly exposed groups of people.