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Tracing contacts to evaluate the transmission of COVID-19 from highly exposed individuals in public transportation

We investigate, through a data-driven contact tracing model, the transmission of COVID-19 inside buses during distinct phases of the pandemic in a large Brazilian city. From this microscopic approach, we recover the networks of close contacts within consecutive time windows. A longitudinal compariso...

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Autores principales: Ponte, Caio, Carmona, Humberto A., Oliveira, Erneson A., Caminha, Carlos, Lima, Antonio S., Andrade, José S., Furtado, Vasco
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8712527/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34961776
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-03998-y
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author Ponte, Caio
Carmona, Humberto A.
Oliveira, Erneson A.
Caminha, Carlos
Lima, Antonio S.
Andrade, José S.
Furtado, Vasco
author_facet Ponte, Caio
Carmona, Humberto A.
Oliveira, Erneson A.
Caminha, Carlos
Lima, Antonio S.
Andrade, José S.
Furtado, Vasco
author_sort Ponte, Caio
collection PubMed
description We investigate, through a data-driven contact tracing model, the transmission of COVID-19 inside buses during distinct phases of the pandemic in a large Brazilian city. From this microscopic approach, we recover the networks of close contacts within consecutive time windows. A longitudinal comparison is then performed by upscaling the traced contacts with the transmission computed from a mean-field compartmental model for the entire city. Our results show that the effective reproduction numbers inside the buses, [Formula: see text] , and in the city, [Formula: see text] , followed a compatible behavior during the first wave of the local outbreak. Moreover, by distinguishing the close contacts of healthcare workers in the buses, we discovered that their transmission, [Formula: see text] , during the same period, was systematically higher than [Formula: see text] . This result reinforces the need for special public transportation policies for highly exposed groups of people.
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spelling pubmed-87125272021-12-28 Tracing contacts to evaluate the transmission of COVID-19 from highly exposed individuals in public transportation Ponte, Caio Carmona, Humberto A. Oliveira, Erneson A. Caminha, Carlos Lima, Antonio S. Andrade, José S. Furtado, Vasco Sci Rep Article We investigate, through a data-driven contact tracing model, the transmission of COVID-19 inside buses during distinct phases of the pandemic in a large Brazilian city. From this microscopic approach, we recover the networks of close contacts within consecutive time windows. A longitudinal comparison is then performed by upscaling the traced contacts with the transmission computed from a mean-field compartmental model for the entire city. Our results show that the effective reproduction numbers inside the buses, [Formula: see text] , and in the city, [Formula: see text] , followed a compatible behavior during the first wave of the local outbreak. Moreover, by distinguishing the close contacts of healthcare workers in the buses, we discovered that their transmission, [Formula: see text] , during the same period, was systematically higher than [Formula: see text] . This result reinforces the need for special public transportation policies for highly exposed groups of people. Nature Publishing Group UK 2021-12-27 /pmc/articles/PMC8712527/ /pubmed/34961776 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-03998-y Text en © The Author(s) 2021 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) .
spellingShingle Article
Ponte, Caio
Carmona, Humberto A.
Oliveira, Erneson A.
Caminha, Carlos
Lima, Antonio S.
Andrade, José S.
Furtado, Vasco
Tracing contacts to evaluate the transmission of COVID-19 from highly exposed individuals in public transportation
title Tracing contacts to evaluate the transmission of COVID-19 from highly exposed individuals in public transportation
title_full Tracing contacts to evaluate the transmission of COVID-19 from highly exposed individuals in public transportation
title_fullStr Tracing contacts to evaluate the transmission of COVID-19 from highly exposed individuals in public transportation
title_full_unstemmed Tracing contacts to evaluate the transmission of COVID-19 from highly exposed individuals in public transportation
title_short Tracing contacts to evaluate the transmission of COVID-19 from highly exposed individuals in public transportation
title_sort tracing contacts to evaluate the transmission of covid-19 from highly exposed individuals in public transportation
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8712527/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34961776
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-03998-y
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