Genetic association of TMPRSS2 rs2070788 polymorphism with COVID-19 case fatality rate among Indian populations

SARS-CoV-2, the causative agent for COVID-19, an ongoing pandemic, engages the ACE2 receptor to enter the host cell through S protein priming by a serine protease, TMPRSS2. Variation in the TMPRSS2 gene may account for the disparity in disease susceptibility between populations. Therefore, in the present study, we have used next-generation sequencing (NGS) data of world populations from 393 individuals and analyzed the TMPRSS2 gene using a haplotype-based approach with a major focus on South Asia to study its phylogenetic structure and their haplotype sharing among various populations worldwide. Our analysis of phylogenetic relatedness showed a closer affinity of South Asians with the West Eurasian populations therefore, host disease susceptibility and severity particularly in the context of TMPRSS2 will be more akin to West Eurasian instead of East Eurasian. This is in contrast to our prior study on the ACE2 gene which shows South Asian haplotypes have a strong affinity towards East Eurasians. Thus ACE2 and TMPRSS2 have an antagonistic genetic relatedness among South Asians. Considering the significance of the TMPRSS2 gene in the SARS-CoV-2 pathogenicity, COVID-19 infection and intensity trends could be directly associated with increased expression therefore, we have also tested the SNPs frequencies of this gene among various Indian state populations with respect to the case fatality rate (CFR). Interestingly, we found a significant positive association between the rs2070788 SNP (G Allele) and the CFR among Indian populations. Further our cis eQTL analysis of rs2070788 shows that the GG genotype of the rs2070788 tends to have a significantly higher expression of TMPRSS2 gene in the lung compared to the AG and AA genotypes thus validating the previous observation and therefore it might play a vital part in determining differential disease vulnerability. We trust that this information will be useful in understanding the role of the TMPRSS2 variant in COVID-19 susceptibility and using it as a biomarker may help to predict populations at risk.