Cargando…

Optimal control and cost-effective analysis of an age-structured emerging infectious disease model

Emerging infectious diseases are one of the global public health problems which may lead to widespread epidemics and potentially life-threatening infection. Integrated vaccination and physical distancing interventions are two elementary methods for preventing infectious diseases transmission. In thi...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Jia, Peiqi, Yang, Junyuan, Li, Xuezhi
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: KeAi Publishing 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8733274/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35059531
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.idm.2021.12.004
Descripción
Sumario:Emerging infectious diseases are one of the global public health problems which may lead to widespread epidemics and potentially life-threatening infection. Integrated vaccination and physical distancing interventions are two elementary methods for preventing infectious diseases transmission. In this paper, we construct a continuous age-structured model for investigating the transmission dynamics of an emerging infection disease during a short period. We derive the basic regeneration number [Formula: see text] , the spectral radius of the next generation operator [Formula: see text] , which determines the disease outbreak or not. Furthermore, we propose an optimal control problem to take account for the cost-effectiveness of social distancing intervention and vaccination. We rigorously obtain sufficient conditions for a L(1) control problem. Numerical simulations show that coupling integrated vaccination and physical distancing intervention could effectively eliminate the infection, and such control strategy is more sensitive for people aged 10–39 and over 60.