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Optimal control and cost-effective analysis of an age-structured emerging infectious disease model
Emerging infectious diseases are one of the global public health problems which may lead to widespread epidemics and potentially life-threatening infection. Integrated vaccination and physical distancing interventions are two elementary methods for preventing infectious diseases transmission. In thi...
Autores principales: | , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
KeAi Publishing
2021
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8733274/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35059531 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.idm.2021.12.004 |
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author | Jia, Peiqi Yang, Junyuan Li, Xuezhi |
author_facet | Jia, Peiqi Yang, Junyuan Li, Xuezhi |
author_sort | Jia, Peiqi |
collection | PubMed |
description | Emerging infectious diseases are one of the global public health problems which may lead to widespread epidemics and potentially life-threatening infection. Integrated vaccination and physical distancing interventions are two elementary methods for preventing infectious diseases transmission. In this paper, we construct a continuous age-structured model for investigating the transmission dynamics of an emerging infection disease during a short period. We derive the basic regeneration number [Formula: see text] , the spectral radius of the next generation operator [Formula: see text] , which determines the disease outbreak or not. Furthermore, we propose an optimal control problem to take account for the cost-effectiveness of social distancing intervention and vaccination. We rigorously obtain sufficient conditions for a L(1) control problem. Numerical simulations show that coupling integrated vaccination and physical distancing intervention could effectively eliminate the infection, and such control strategy is more sensitive for people aged 10–39 and over 60. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-8733274 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2021 |
publisher | KeAi Publishing |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-87332742022-01-19 Optimal control and cost-effective analysis of an age-structured emerging infectious disease model Jia, Peiqi Yang, Junyuan Li, Xuezhi Infect Dis Model Original Research Article Emerging infectious diseases are one of the global public health problems which may lead to widespread epidemics and potentially life-threatening infection. Integrated vaccination and physical distancing interventions are two elementary methods for preventing infectious diseases transmission. In this paper, we construct a continuous age-structured model for investigating the transmission dynamics of an emerging infection disease during a short period. We derive the basic regeneration number [Formula: see text] , the spectral radius of the next generation operator [Formula: see text] , which determines the disease outbreak or not. Furthermore, we propose an optimal control problem to take account for the cost-effectiveness of social distancing intervention and vaccination. We rigorously obtain sufficient conditions for a L(1) control problem. Numerical simulations show that coupling integrated vaccination and physical distancing intervention could effectively eliminate the infection, and such control strategy is more sensitive for people aged 10–39 and over 60. KeAi Publishing 2021-12-25 /pmc/articles/PMC8733274/ /pubmed/35059531 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.idm.2021.12.004 Text en © 2021 The Authors https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/). |
spellingShingle | Original Research Article Jia, Peiqi Yang, Junyuan Li, Xuezhi Optimal control and cost-effective analysis of an age-structured emerging infectious disease model |
title | Optimal control and cost-effective analysis of an age-structured emerging infectious disease model |
title_full | Optimal control and cost-effective analysis of an age-structured emerging infectious disease model |
title_fullStr | Optimal control and cost-effective analysis of an age-structured emerging infectious disease model |
title_full_unstemmed | Optimal control and cost-effective analysis of an age-structured emerging infectious disease model |
title_short | Optimal control and cost-effective analysis of an age-structured emerging infectious disease model |
title_sort | optimal control and cost-effective analysis of an age-structured emerging infectious disease model |
topic | Original Research Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8733274/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35059531 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.idm.2021.12.004 |
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