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Optimal control and cost-effective analysis of an age-structured emerging infectious disease model

Emerging infectious diseases are one of the global public health problems which may lead to widespread epidemics and potentially life-threatening infection. Integrated vaccination and physical distancing interventions are two elementary methods for preventing infectious diseases transmission. In thi...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Jia, Peiqi, Yang, Junyuan, Li, Xuezhi
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: KeAi Publishing 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8733274/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35059531
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.idm.2021.12.004
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author Jia, Peiqi
Yang, Junyuan
Li, Xuezhi
author_facet Jia, Peiqi
Yang, Junyuan
Li, Xuezhi
author_sort Jia, Peiqi
collection PubMed
description Emerging infectious diseases are one of the global public health problems which may lead to widespread epidemics and potentially life-threatening infection. Integrated vaccination and physical distancing interventions are two elementary methods for preventing infectious diseases transmission. In this paper, we construct a continuous age-structured model for investigating the transmission dynamics of an emerging infection disease during a short period. We derive the basic regeneration number [Formula: see text] , the spectral radius of the next generation operator [Formula: see text] , which determines the disease outbreak or not. Furthermore, we propose an optimal control problem to take account for the cost-effectiveness of social distancing intervention and vaccination. We rigorously obtain sufficient conditions for a L(1) control problem. Numerical simulations show that coupling integrated vaccination and physical distancing intervention could effectively eliminate the infection, and such control strategy is more sensitive for people aged 10–39 and over 60.
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spelling pubmed-87332742022-01-19 Optimal control and cost-effective analysis of an age-structured emerging infectious disease model Jia, Peiqi Yang, Junyuan Li, Xuezhi Infect Dis Model Original Research Article Emerging infectious diseases are one of the global public health problems which may lead to widespread epidemics and potentially life-threatening infection. Integrated vaccination and physical distancing interventions are two elementary methods for preventing infectious diseases transmission. In this paper, we construct a continuous age-structured model for investigating the transmission dynamics of an emerging infection disease during a short period. We derive the basic regeneration number [Formula: see text] , the spectral radius of the next generation operator [Formula: see text] , which determines the disease outbreak or not. Furthermore, we propose an optimal control problem to take account for the cost-effectiveness of social distancing intervention and vaccination. We rigorously obtain sufficient conditions for a L(1) control problem. Numerical simulations show that coupling integrated vaccination and physical distancing intervention could effectively eliminate the infection, and such control strategy is more sensitive for people aged 10–39 and over 60. KeAi Publishing 2021-12-25 /pmc/articles/PMC8733274/ /pubmed/35059531 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.idm.2021.12.004 Text en © 2021 The Authors https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
spellingShingle Original Research Article
Jia, Peiqi
Yang, Junyuan
Li, Xuezhi
Optimal control and cost-effective analysis of an age-structured emerging infectious disease model
title Optimal control and cost-effective analysis of an age-structured emerging infectious disease model
title_full Optimal control and cost-effective analysis of an age-structured emerging infectious disease model
title_fullStr Optimal control and cost-effective analysis of an age-structured emerging infectious disease model
title_full_unstemmed Optimal control and cost-effective analysis of an age-structured emerging infectious disease model
title_short Optimal control and cost-effective analysis of an age-structured emerging infectious disease model
title_sort optimal control and cost-effective analysis of an age-structured emerging infectious disease model
topic Original Research Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8733274/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35059531
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.idm.2021.12.004
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