Municipal Characteristics of In-Home Death Among Care-Dependent Older Japanese Adults

IMPORTANCE: The provision of in-home and community end-of-life care has emerged as an important policy issue for aging populations around the world. Despite most patients expressing the wish to die at home (as opposed to in the hospital), substantial geographic variation persists in the prevalence of in-home death at the end of life. OBJECTIVE: To assess the association of municipal characteristics with variation in the place of death among care-dependent older people in Japan. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: In this cross-sectional study using multilevel logistic regression, analyses were performed using national claims data under Japan’s long-term care insurance system. The study population included long-term care insurance beneficiaries 65 years and older who died in 2015, excluding those who died from external causes, such as unintentional injuries. Data analyses were conducted from January 1 to April 31, 2021. EXPOSURES: Predisposing, enabling, and need factors at the individual and municipal levels according to a behavioral model. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The outcome was whether individuals died at home or not. RESULTS: This cross-sectional study analyzed 544 836 decedents (median [IQR] age, 87 [81-91] years; 300 142 [55.1%] female). The proportion of in-home deaths was 10.3%. In the multilevel null model, 7.2% of the variance in the place of death was associated with municipal-level characteristics. Municipal characteristics were associated with more of the variance than were prefectural characteristics (2.7%). The largest proportional change (7.3%) in variance at the municipality level was observed when enabling factors (ie, medical and long-term care resources) were added to the model. Municipalities with a high proportion of in-home death were more likely to have a higher supply of clinics, physicians, and care workers providing in-home services per population, as well as a lower number of hospital beds and long-term care facility workers per population. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this cross-sectional study, municipal characteristics explained a substantial proportion of the geographic variance in in-home death in Japan. These results suggest that municipal policy makers need to ensure an adequate supply of clinics, physicians, and care workers providing in-home services to meet the preferences of care-dependent older people who wish to spend their final days at home.