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Resilience of countries to COVID-19 correlated with trust
We characterized > 150 countries’ resilience to COVID-19 as the nationwide decay rate of daily cases or deaths from peak levels. Resilience to COVID-19 varies by a factor of ~ 40 between countries for cases/capita and ~ 25 for deaths/capita. Trust within society is positively correlated with coun...
Autores principales: | , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Nature Publishing Group UK
2022
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8738739/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34992222 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-03358-w |
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author | Lenton, Timothy M. Boulton, Chris A. Scheffer, Marten |
author_facet | Lenton, Timothy M. Boulton, Chris A. Scheffer, Marten |
author_sort | Lenton, Timothy M. |
collection | PubMed |
description | We characterized > 150 countries’ resilience to COVID-19 as the nationwide decay rate of daily cases or deaths from peak levels. Resilience to COVID-19 varies by a factor of ~ 40 between countries for cases/capita and ~ 25 for deaths/capita. Trust within society is positively correlated with country-level resilience to COVID-19, as is the adaptive increase in stringency of government interventions when epidemic waves occur. By contrast, countries where governments maintain greater background stringency tend to have lower trust within society and tend to be less resilient. All countries where > 40% agree “most people can be trusted” achieve a near complete reduction of new cases and deaths, but so do several less-trusting societies. As the pandemic progressed, resilience tended to decline, as adaptive increases in stringency also declined. These results add to evidence that trust can improve resilience to epidemics and other unexpected disruptions, of which COVID-19 is unlikely to be the last. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-8738739 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2022 |
publisher | Nature Publishing Group UK |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-87387392022-01-10 Resilience of countries to COVID-19 correlated with trust Lenton, Timothy M. Boulton, Chris A. Scheffer, Marten Sci Rep Article We characterized > 150 countries’ resilience to COVID-19 as the nationwide decay rate of daily cases or deaths from peak levels. Resilience to COVID-19 varies by a factor of ~ 40 between countries for cases/capita and ~ 25 for deaths/capita. Trust within society is positively correlated with country-level resilience to COVID-19, as is the adaptive increase in stringency of government interventions when epidemic waves occur. By contrast, countries where governments maintain greater background stringency tend to have lower trust within society and tend to be less resilient. All countries where > 40% agree “most people can be trusted” achieve a near complete reduction of new cases and deaths, but so do several less-trusting societies. As the pandemic progressed, resilience tended to decline, as adaptive increases in stringency also declined. These results add to evidence that trust can improve resilience to epidemics and other unexpected disruptions, of which COVID-19 is unlikely to be the last. Nature Publishing Group UK 2022-01-06 /pmc/articles/PMC8738739/ /pubmed/34992222 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-03358-w Text en © The Author(s) 2022 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) . |
spellingShingle | Article Lenton, Timothy M. Boulton, Chris A. Scheffer, Marten Resilience of countries to COVID-19 correlated with trust |
title | Resilience of countries to COVID-19 correlated with trust |
title_full | Resilience of countries to COVID-19 correlated with trust |
title_fullStr | Resilience of countries to COVID-19 correlated with trust |
title_full_unstemmed | Resilience of countries to COVID-19 correlated with trust |
title_short | Resilience of countries to COVID-19 correlated with trust |
title_sort | resilience of countries to covid-19 correlated with trust |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8738739/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34992222 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-03358-w |
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