Deep Learning to Predict EGFR Mutation and PD-L1 Expression Status in Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer on Computed Tomography Images

OBJECTIVE: The detection of epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutation and programmed death ligand-1 (PD-L1) expression status is crucial to determine the treatment strategies for patients with non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Recently, the rapid development of radiomics including but not limited to deep learning techniques has indicated the potential role of medical images in the diagnosis and treatment of diseases. METHODS: Eligible patients diagnosed/treated at the West China Hospital of Sichuan University from January 2013 to April 2019 were identified retrospectively. The preoperative CT images were obtained, as well as the gene status regarding EGFR mutation and PD-L1 expression. Tumor region of interest (ROI) was delineated manually by experienced respiratory specialists. We used 3D convolutional neural network (CNN) with ROI information as input to construct a classification model and established a prognostic model combining deep learning features and clinical features to stratify survival risk of lung cancer patients. RESULTS: The whole cohort (N = 1262) was divided into a training set (N = 882, 70%), validation set (N = 125, 10%), and test set (N = 255, 20%). We used a 3D convolutional neural network (CNN) to construct a prediction model, with AUCs of 0.96 (95% CI: 0.94–0.98), 0.80 (95% CI: 0.72–0.88), and 0.73 (95% CI: 0.63–0.83) in the training, validation, and test cohorts, respectively. The combined prognostic model showed a good performance on survival prediction in NSCLC patients (C-index: 0.71). CONCLUSION: In this study, a noninvasive and effective model was proposed to predict EGFR mutation and PD-L1 expression status as a clinical decision support tool. Additionally, the combination of deep learning features with clinical features demonstrated great stratification capabilities in the prognostic model. Our team would continue to explore the application of imaging markers for treatment selection of lung cancer patients.