Prognostic Factors for Localized Clear Cell Renal Cell Carcinoma and Their Application in Adjuvant Therapy

SIMPLE SUMMARY: Approximately one fifth of patients with newly diagnosed renal cell carcinoma (RCC) present with metastatic disease and over one third of the remaining patients with localized RCC will eventually have metastases spread to distant sites after complete resection of the primary tumor in the kidney. Usually, disease recurrence is observed within the first five years of follow-up, but late recurrences after five years are seen in up to 10% of patients. Despite novel biomarkers, simple histopathological factors, such as tumor size, tumor grade, and tumor extension into the blood vessels or beyond the kidney, are still valid features in predicting the risk of disease recurrence after surgery. The optimal set of prognostic factors remains unclear. The results from ongoing placebo-controlled adjuvant therapy trials may elucidate prognostic features that help to define high-risk patients for disease recurrence. ABSTRACT: Approximately 20% of patients with renal cell carcinoma (RCC) present with primarily metastatic disease and over 30% of patients with localized RCC will develop distant metastases later, after complete resection of the primary tumor. Accurate postoperative prognostic models are essential for designing personalized surveillance programs, as well as for designing adjuvant therapy and trials. Several clinical and histopathological prognostic factors have been identified and adopted into prognostic algorithms to assess the individual risk for disease recurrence after radical or partial nephrectomy. However, the prediction accuracy of current prognostic models has been studied in retrospective patient cohorts and the optimal set of prognostic features remains unclear. In addition to traditional histopathological prognostic factors, novel biomarkers, such as gene expression profiles and circulating tumor DNA, are extensively studied to supplement existing prognostic algorithms to improve their prediction accuracy. Here, we aim to give an overview of existing prognostic features and prediction models for localized postoperative clear cell RCC and discuss their role in the adjuvant therapy trials. The results of ongoing placebo-controlled adjuvant therapy trials may elucidate prognostic factors and biomarkers that help to define patients at high risk for disease recurrence.