Prognostic significance of receptor expression discordance between primary and recurrent breast cancers: a meta-analysis

PURPOSE: This meta-analysis aimed to investigate whether receptor (estrogen receptor [ER], progesterone receptor [PR], and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 [HER2]) discordances between primary and recurrent breast cancers affect patients’ survival. METHODS: Search terms contained ER, PR, and HER2 status details in both primary and recurrent tumors (local recurrence or distant metastasis) in addition to survival outcome data (overall survival [OS] or post-recurrence survival [PRS]). RESULTS: Loss of ER or PR in recurrent tumors was significantly associated with shorter OS as compared with receptor-positive concordance (hazard ratio [HR], 1.67; 95% confidence interval [% CI] 1.37–2.04; p < 0.00001 and HR, 1.45; 95% CI 1.21–1.75; p < 0.0001, respectively). Similar trends were observed in groups with only distant metastasis. Gain of ER was a significant predictor of longer PRS as compared with receptor-negative concordance (HR, 0.76; 95% CI 0.59–0.97; p = 0.03). Gain of PR was not a significant predictor of longer survival compared with receptor-negative concordance, but it could be related to better OS at distant metastasis. Both HER2 of loss and gain could be related to poor outcomes. CONCLUSION: This meta-analysis showed that receptor conversion in recurrent tumors may affect patient survival as compared with receptor concordance. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10549-021-06390-6.