A Ductal-Cell-Related Risk Model Integrating Single-Cell and Bulk Sequencing Data Predicts the Prognosis of Patients With Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is a highly heterogeneous malignancy. Single-cell sequencing (scRNA-seq) technology enables quantitative gene expression measurements that underlie the phenotypic diversity of cells within a tumor. By integrating PDAC scRNA-seq and bulk sequencing data, we aim to extract relevant biological insights into the ductal cell features that lead to different prognoses. Firstly, differentially expressed genes (DEGs) of ductal cells between normal and tumor tissues were identified through scRNA-seq data analysis. The effect of DEGs on PDAC survival was then assessed in the bulk sequencing data. Based on these DEGs (LY6D, EPS8, DDIT4, TNFSF10, RBP4, NPY1R, MYADM, SLC12A2, SPCS3, NBPF15) affecting PDAC survival, a risk score model was developed to classify patients into high-risk and low-risk groups. The results showed that the overall survival was significantly longer in the low-risk group (p < 0.05). The model also revealed reliable predictive power in different subgroups of patients. The high-risk group had a higher tumor mutational burden (TMB) (p < 0.05), with significantly higher mutation frequencies in KRAS and ADAMTS12 (p < 0.05). Meanwhile, the high-risk group had a higher tumor stemness score (p < 0.05). However, there was no significant difference in the immune cell infiltration scores between the two groups. Lastly, drug candidates targeting risk model genes were identified, and seven compounds might act against PDAC through different mechanisms. In conclusion, we have developed a validated survival assessment model, which acted as an independent risk factor for PDAC.