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Effect of vaccine efficacy on disease transmission with age-structured
Recent outbreaks of novel infectious diseases (e.g., COVID-19, H2N3) have highlighted the threat of pathogen transmission, and vaccination offers a necessary tool to relieve illness. However, vaccine efficacy is one of the barriers to eradicating the epidemic. Intuitively, vaccine efficacy is closel...
Autores principales: | , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Elsevier Ltd.
2022
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8769716/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35075336 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2022.111812 |
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author | Yin, Lu Lu, YiKang Du, ChunPeng Shi, Lei |
author_facet | Yin, Lu Lu, YiKang Du, ChunPeng Shi, Lei |
author_sort | Yin, Lu |
collection | PubMed |
description | Recent outbreaks of novel infectious diseases (e.g., COVID-19, H2N3) have highlighted the threat of pathogen transmission, and vaccination offers a necessary tool to relieve illness. However, vaccine efficacy is one of the barriers to eradicating the epidemic. Intuitively, vaccine efficacy is closely related to age structures, and the distribution of vaccine efficacy usually obeys a Gaussian distribution, such as with H3N2 and influenza A and B. Based on this fact, in this paper, we study the effect of vaccine efficacy on disease spread by considering different age structures and extending the traditional susceptible-infected-recovery/vaccinator(SIR/V) model with two stages to three stages, which includes the decision-making stage, epidemic stage, and birth-death stage. Extensive numerical simulations show that our model generates a higher vaccination level compared with the case of complete vaccine efficacy because the vaccinated individuals in our model can form small and numerous clusters slower than that of complete vaccine efficacy. In addition, priority vaccination for the elderly is conducive to halting the epidemic when facing population ageing. Our work is expected to provide valuable information for decision-making and the design of more effective disease control strategies. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-8769716 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2022 |
publisher | Elsevier Ltd. |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-87697162022-01-20 Effect of vaccine efficacy on disease transmission with age-structured Yin, Lu Lu, YiKang Du, ChunPeng Shi, Lei Chaos Solitons Fractals Frontiers Recent outbreaks of novel infectious diseases (e.g., COVID-19, H2N3) have highlighted the threat of pathogen transmission, and vaccination offers a necessary tool to relieve illness. However, vaccine efficacy is one of the barriers to eradicating the epidemic. Intuitively, vaccine efficacy is closely related to age structures, and the distribution of vaccine efficacy usually obeys a Gaussian distribution, such as with H3N2 and influenza A and B. Based on this fact, in this paper, we study the effect of vaccine efficacy on disease spread by considering different age structures and extending the traditional susceptible-infected-recovery/vaccinator(SIR/V) model with two stages to three stages, which includes the decision-making stage, epidemic stage, and birth-death stage. Extensive numerical simulations show that our model generates a higher vaccination level compared with the case of complete vaccine efficacy because the vaccinated individuals in our model can form small and numerous clusters slower than that of complete vaccine efficacy. In addition, priority vaccination for the elderly is conducive to halting the epidemic when facing population ageing. Our work is expected to provide valuable information for decision-making and the design of more effective disease control strategies. Elsevier Ltd. 2022-03 2022-01-20 /pmc/articles/PMC8769716/ /pubmed/35075336 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2022.111812 Text en © 2022 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active. |
spellingShingle | Frontiers Yin, Lu Lu, YiKang Du, ChunPeng Shi, Lei Effect of vaccine efficacy on disease transmission with age-structured |
title | Effect of vaccine efficacy on disease transmission with age-structured |
title_full | Effect of vaccine efficacy on disease transmission with age-structured |
title_fullStr | Effect of vaccine efficacy on disease transmission with age-structured |
title_full_unstemmed | Effect of vaccine efficacy on disease transmission with age-structured |
title_short | Effect of vaccine efficacy on disease transmission with age-structured |
title_sort | effect of vaccine efficacy on disease transmission with age-structured |
topic | Frontiers |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8769716/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35075336 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2022.111812 |
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