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Effect of vaccine efficacy on disease transmission with age-structured

Recent outbreaks of novel infectious diseases (e.g., COVID-19, H2N3) have highlighted the threat of pathogen transmission, and vaccination offers a necessary tool to relieve illness. However, vaccine efficacy is one of the barriers to eradicating the epidemic. Intuitively, vaccine efficacy is closel...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Yin, Lu, Lu, YiKang, Du, ChunPeng, Shi, Lei
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Elsevier Ltd. 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8769716/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35075336
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2022.111812
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author Yin, Lu
Lu, YiKang
Du, ChunPeng
Shi, Lei
author_facet Yin, Lu
Lu, YiKang
Du, ChunPeng
Shi, Lei
author_sort Yin, Lu
collection PubMed
description Recent outbreaks of novel infectious diseases (e.g., COVID-19, H2N3) have highlighted the threat of pathogen transmission, and vaccination offers a necessary tool to relieve illness. However, vaccine efficacy is one of the barriers to eradicating the epidemic. Intuitively, vaccine efficacy is closely related to age structures, and the distribution of vaccine efficacy usually obeys a Gaussian distribution, such as with H3N2 and influenza A and B. Based on this fact, in this paper, we study the effect of vaccine efficacy on disease spread by considering different age structures and extending the traditional susceptible-infected-recovery/vaccinator(SIR/V) model with two stages to three stages, which includes the decision-making stage, epidemic stage, and birth-death stage. Extensive numerical simulations show that our model generates a higher vaccination level compared with the case of complete vaccine efficacy because the vaccinated individuals in our model can form small and numerous clusters slower than that of complete vaccine efficacy. In addition, priority vaccination for the elderly is conducive to halting the epidemic when facing population ageing. Our work is expected to provide valuable information for decision-making and the design of more effective disease control strategies.
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spelling pubmed-87697162022-01-20 Effect of vaccine efficacy on disease transmission with age-structured Yin, Lu Lu, YiKang Du, ChunPeng Shi, Lei Chaos Solitons Fractals Frontiers Recent outbreaks of novel infectious diseases (e.g., COVID-19, H2N3) have highlighted the threat of pathogen transmission, and vaccination offers a necessary tool to relieve illness. However, vaccine efficacy is one of the barriers to eradicating the epidemic. Intuitively, vaccine efficacy is closely related to age structures, and the distribution of vaccine efficacy usually obeys a Gaussian distribution, such as with H3N2 and influenza A and B. Based on this fact, in this paper, we study the effect of vaccine efficacy on disease spread by considering different age structures and extending the traditional susceptible-infected-recovery/vaccinator(SIR/V) model with two stages to three stages, which includes the decision-making stage, epidemic stage, and birth-death stage. Extensive numerical simulations show that our model generates a higher vaccination level compared with the case of complete vaccine efficacy because the vaccinated individuals in our model can form small and numerous clusters slower than that of complete vaccine efficacy. In addition, priority vaccination for the elderly is conducive to halting the epidemic when facing population ageing. Our work is expected to provide valuable information for decision-making and the design of more effective disease control strategies. Elsevier Ltd. 2022-03 2022-01-20 /pmc/articles/PMC8769716/ /pubmed/35075336 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2022.111812 Text en © 2022 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.
spellingShingle Frontiers
Yin, Lu
Lu, YiKang
Du, ChunPeng
Shi, Lei
Effect of vaccine efficacy on disease transmission with age-structured
title Effect of vaccine efficacy on disease transmission with age-structured
title_full Effect of vaccine efficacy on disease transmission with age-structured
title_fullStr Effect of vaccine efficacy on disease transmission with age-structured
title_full_unstemmed Effect of vaccine efficacy on disease transmission with age-structured
title_short Effect of vaccine efficacy on disease transmission with age-structured
title_sort effect of vaccine efficacy on disease transmission with age-structured
topic Frontiers
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8769716/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35075336
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2022.111812
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