Data-Driven Dose-Volume Histogram Prediction

PURPOSE: To evaluate dose-volume histogram (DVH) prediction from prior radiation therapy data. METHODS AND MATERIALS: An Oncospace radiation therapy database was constructed including images, structures, and dose distributions for patients with advanced lung cancer. DVH data was queried for total lungs, esophagus, heart, and external body contours. Each query returned DVH data for the N-most similar organs at risk (OARs) based on OAR-to-planning-target-volume (PTV) geometry via the overlap volume histogram (OVH). The DVHs for 5, 20, and 50 of the most similar OVHs were returned for each OAR for each patient. The OVH(0cm) is the relative volume of the OAR overlapping with the PTV, and the OVH(2cm) is the relative volume of the OAR 2 cm away from the PTV. The OVH(cm) and DVH(%) queried from the database were separated into interquartile ranges (IQRs), nonoutlier ranges (NORs) (equal to 3 × IQR), and the average database DVH (DVH-DB) computed from the NOR data. The ability to predict the clinically delivered DVH was evaluated based on percentiles and differences between the DVH-DB and the clinical DVH (DVH-CL) for a varying number of returned patient DVHs for a subset of patients. RESULTS: The ability to predict the clinically delivered DVH was excellent in the lungs and body; the IQR and NOR were <4% and <16%, respectively, in the lungs and <1% and <5%, respectively, in the body at all distances less than 2 cm from the PTV. For 21/23 patients considered, the differences in lung DVH-DB and DVH-CL were <4.6% and in 14/23 cases, <3%. In esophagus and heart, the ability to predict DVH-CL was weaker, with mean DVH differences >10% for 12/23 esophagi and 10/23 hearts. In esophagus and heart queries, the NOR was often 10% to 100% volume in dose ranges between 0% and 50% of prescription, independent of the number of patients queried. CONCLUSIONS: Using prior data to predict clinical dosimetry is increasingly of interest, but model- and data-driven methods have limitations if based on limited data sets. This study's results showed that prediction may be reasonable in organs containing tumors with known overlap, but for nonoverlapped OARs, planning preference and plan design may dominate the clinical dose.