The role of first-trimester HbA1c in the early detection of gestational diabetes

BACKGROUND: We aimed to assess the utility of HbA1c in the early detection of gestational diabetes (GDM) in the first trimester. METHODS: This prospective study was performed on 700 pregnant women in the perinatology clinic at a tertiary university hospital from March 2018 to March 2020. For all pregnant women, HbA1c and fasting blood glucose (FBG) levels were examined during the first trimester. Then, a GDM screening test was done within 24–28 weeks of pregnancy using a 100 g oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) as the gold standard test. The GDM diagnosis was made according to the American Diabetes Association (ADA) criteria. Sensitivity, specificity, positive (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) of HbA1c and FBG were calculated using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. RESULTS: Of 700 participants, one hundred and fifteen (16.4%) women had GDM. The GDM patients were significantly older and had a higher pre-gestational body mass index and pregnancy weight gain compared to the non-GDM participants. The sensitivity and specificity for ruling out GDM at an HbA1c cut-off value of 4.85% was 92.2 and 32.8%, respectively, with a 95.5% NPV and a 21.2% PPV. Furthermore, sensitivity and specificity for diagnosing GDM at an HbA1c cut-off value of 5.45% was 54.8 and 96.8%, respectively, with a 91.5% NPV and a 76.8% PPV. Using HbA1c could decline OGTT in 40.4% of the pregnant women (28.7% with HbA1c < 4.85 and 11.7% with HbA1c ≥ 5.45%). CONCLUSION: It seems that the first-trimester HbA1c cannot replace OGTT for the diagnosis of GDM because of its insufficient sensitivity and specificity. However, women with higher first-trimester HbA1c had a high risk for GDM incidence.