Long-term predictors of death among Tunisian patients presenting fornon ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome

Background. Coronary artery disease is the leading cause of death in emerging countries. Contemporary data about clinical profile and prognosis in Tunisian patients presenting for non ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS) are lacking. Aim. We sought to study the risk profile and 3-year mortality predictors in Tunisian patients presenting for NSTE-ACS in the contemporary setting. Methods. In this single center study, data about all consecutive patients presenting to our center for NSTE-ACS from April 2014 to July 2016 were extracted and outcomes exhaustively updated. 3-year mortality predictors were determined by multivariable survival analysis. Results. A total of 340 patients were included, of which 204 (61.8%) were male. Mean age was 63.6 ± 10.3 years. Prevalence of diabetes mellitus, hypertension and smoking was 57.3%, 62.4%, and 45.3%, respectively. In-hospital, 6, 12 and 36-month mortality rate was 2.3%, 3.2%, 7.1% and 15.2%, respectively. In multivariable survival analysis, independent predictors of death were age >75 (HR=5.45, 95% CI: 2.9-10.03, p<0.001), ST-segment deviation (HR=1.86, 95% CI: 1.04-3.33, p=0.036), anemia (HR=2.56, 95% CI: 1.41-4.67, p=0.002), left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) <40% (HR=3.5, 95% CI: 1.84-6.67, p<0.001) and a Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) score ≥140 (HR=2.38, 95% CI: 1.02-5.57, p=0.044) Conclusion. In Tunisian patients presenting for NSTE-ACS, long-term mortality was high. Advanced age, ST-segment deviation, anemia, LVEF <40% and a GRACE score ≥140 were independent long-term predictors of death.