Preintervention MCP-1 serum levels as an early predictive marker of tumor response in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma undergoing transarterial chemoembolization

BACKGROUND: Transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) is a widely accepted treatment for unresectable or intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, response rates to TACE are heterogeneous and it is not fully understood which patients benefit most from TACE therapy in terms of tumor response. To identify the possible predictive roles of the perioperative monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 (MCP-1) levels in patients of HCC treated with TACE. METHODS: Forty patients of HCC receiving TACE were enrolled in a single center prospective observational study. MCP-1 and miR-210 levels were measured in 40 HCC patients at baseline before TACE and compared with 17 healthy controls by immunoassay and reverse transcriptase quantitative polymerase chain reaction (RT-qPCR). Tumor response assessments were taken after TACE treatment 4–6 weeks. Univariate and multivariate analysis were conducted to analyze factors correlated with tumor response in a Logistic regression model. The predictive roles of the involved variables on tumor response in patients with HCC suffering TACE were examined by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. RESULTS: The serum MCP-1 and miR-210 levels were significantly elevated in HCC patients compared to healthy subjects. Patients with the low preintervention MCP-1 and miR-210 levels attained a higher probability of achieving an objective response (OR) (88.5% vs.42.9%, P=0.007; 76.9% vs. 35.7%, P=0.010, respectively). Pre-TACE MCP-1 level (<816.63 pg/mL) was an independent risk factor associated with OR after TACE by univariate and multivariate analysis while Pre-TACE miR-210 level (<4.43 relative expression) was just positive by univariate analysis. ROC curve analysis showed that a combined index based on those two factors exhibited optimal predictive power of tumor response among all the involved variables (area under the curve =0.823, 95% CI: 0.681–0.965). Additionally, high pre-TACE serum MCP-1 level was correlated with cirrhosis, vascular invasion and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage. Elevated pre-TACE serum miR-210 level was associated with and BCLC stage. CONCLUSIONS: The study demonstrates that the pre-TACE serum MCP-1 level serves as an effective predictor for tumor response. These findings probably help discriminate HCC patients pre-TACE who specially benefit from TACE regarding OR.