Transfer of knowledge to diagnose infant abuse and its incidence – a time-series analysis from Sweden

AIM: To analyse the transfer of knowledge on how to detect physical abuse, especially shaken baby syndrome/abusive head trauma (SBS/AHT), and its association to trends in infant abuse diagnoses (maltreatment and assault). METHODS: Design: retrospective population-based and quasi-experimental. Setting: Sweden 1987–2019. Patients: Children below age 1 year, selected from the National Patient Register (n = 1150). Exposures: Literature search for transfer of knowledge by diffusion, dissemination and implementation, and whether supportive or disruptive of the SBS/AHT paradigm. Main outcome measure: Abuse diagnoses (maltreatment or assault). Analyses: Incidence rate, incidence rate ratio (IRR). RESULTS: The overall incidence rate of abuse was 32.23 per 100,000 during the years 1987–2019. It was rather stable 1987–2000. The SBS diagnosis was introduced in the late 1990s. A comprehensive increase of transfer of knowledge on physical abuse, specifically on SBS/AHT and dangers of shaking, took place from 2002 and onward through diffusion, dissemination and implementation. Maltreatment diagnoses, but not assault diagnosis, increased steeply during 2002–2007, peaking in 2008–2013 [IRR 1.63 (95% confidence interval 1.34–1.98)]. Transfer of disruptive knowledge on SBS/AHT during the period 2014–2019 was associated with a decline in maltreatment diagnoses [IRR 0.84 (95% confidence interval 0.71–0.99)]. CONCLUSION: An increase in maltreatment diagnoses was associated with transfer of supportive knowledge of the SBS/AHT paradigm, while a decline occurred toward the end of the study period, which might indicate a burgeoning de-implementation process. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13012-022-01188-6.