Predictors of COVID-19 Mortality in Critically Ill ICU Patients: A Multicenter Retrospective Observational Study

Introduction Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a multisystemic disease caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) and can lead to a broad spectrum of disease severity, from asymptomatic to severe respiratory disease. In addition, the mortality rate is exceedingly high among COVID-19 patients admitted to the ICU. The purpose of this study is to examine the differences between survivors and non-survivors of critically ill COVID-19 patients admitted to the ICU. Method This multicenter retrospective observational study was conducted at two hospitals in Southern California, USA. First, we compared the characteristics of the ICU patients that died and those that survived using the chi-square test for categorical variables and t-test for the continuous variables, with a p-value of 0.05 considered significant. Finally, we did a backward selection Cox multivariate regression analysis using mortality as a dependent variable. Result There were 1,116 patients admitted with COVID-19 during our study period. Of this number, 238 (21.3%) were admitted to the ICU. Among patients admitted to the ICU, 195 (81.9%) died and 43 (18.1%) survived. In the multivariate Cox regression analysis, C-reactive protein (CRP) (HR 1.03, 95% CI 1.003-1.059), tachycardia (HR 3.51, 95% CI 1.83-6.72), and age (HR 1.02, 95% CI 1.01-1.04) were independently associated with mortality. Patients’ BMI and comorbidities such as hypertension, diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and chronic kidney disease did not predict mortality. Conclusion Age, elevated CRP, and tachycardia were independent risk factors for mortality in COVID-19 patients admitted to the ICU. It appears that several factors that predict severe diseases in COVID-19 patients, such as BMI and comorbidities, become less important once patients are admitted to the ICU.